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Wyoming Deer Area 10 Type 3 Draw Odds

Deer hunt area 010, type 3 (any white-tailed …, as WGFD labels it). Jump to resident odds or nonresident odds.

FactValue
HuntDeer, Area 10 Type 3: any white-tailed …
2026 resident quota / first-choice applicants18 / 48
2026 resident simple odds (random draw)37.5%
2026 nonresident regular quota: preference pool / random pool3 / 1
2026 nonresident special quota: preference pool / random pool2 / 0
2026 nonresident regular: preference cut1 pts (all drew at that level)
2026 nonresident special: preference cutevery applicant drew

Resident odds (2026 draw)

Wyoming residents draw deer licenses by random draw; preference points do not apply to residents for this species, so every resident applicant has the same chance. Simple odds are quota divided by first-choice applicants (second and third choices only pick up what is left).

Draw yearResident quota1st-choice applicantsSimple odds
2023184440.9%
2024174736.2%
2025164535.6%
2026184837.5%

Resident outlook for 2027

Resident odds moved -1.1 percentage points a year on average from 2023 to 2026. If quota and demand follow that line, 2027 odds land near 36%.

Nonresident odds by preference point (2026 draw)

For nonresidents WGFD sets aside most licenses for a preference-point draw and the rest for a random draw that also takes everyone who missed in the point draw. The first odds column is WGFD's published first-choice success rate at each level; the second adds our simple random-draw estimate (random quota over first-choice random applicants). Rows marked < are party applications whose averaged points fall between two levels.

Regular license

Your points1st-choice applicantsPreference draw odds (WGFD)With random draw added (est.)
13100.0%100.0%
< 150.0%20.0%

Forecast for 2027: About 1 preference points is where the draw is likely to cut off next year, so applicants at 2 or more are likely to draw on first choice. Point creep has averaged +0.33 points a year (2023 to 2026). Confidence: medium.

Special license (higher fee, separate quota)

Your points1st-choice applicantsPreference draw odds (WGFD)With random draw added (est.)
01100.0%—

Forecast for 2027: The trend points to a hunt that draws without points next year if quota and demand hold.

History

Draw yearNR regular cutNR special cutNR random odds (regular)
2023every applicant drewno applicants—
20241 pts (75% drew at that level)no applicants20.0%
20250 pts (29% drew at that level)every applicant drew25.0%
20261 pts (all drew at that level)every applicant drew20.0%

Forecast method: how we forecast point creep. It is a trend line, not a promise.

Notes from TagCanyon

In 2026, 48 residents listed this hunt first for 18 resident licenses. The nonresident regular points-to-draw index went from 0.0 in 2023 to 1.0 in 2026.

Deadline

Applications open Jan 2 and close Jun 1 on WGFD's current dates table (results in mid-June). Confirm the 2027 dates on WGFD's page. WGFD application dates.

Source: Wyoming Game and Fish Department (WGFD), 2026 Demand Reports (WGFD draw results and odds). Tables, forecasts and text are TagCanyon's own. Not affiliated with WGFD. Retrieved Oct 17, 2026.