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Bull elk in golden grass at sunset below the Sangre de Cristo Mountains, Great Sand Dunes, Colorado

Draw Report: Nonresident Odds Graded

Hot, Fair or Tough for every state and species we track. As of Oct 23, 2026.

Photo: National Park Service (Great Sand Dunes National Park and Preserve) via Wikimedia Commons, public domain. Credits

As of Oct 23, 2026. Data years: Colorado, Wyoming and Montana 2026 draws; Texas 2025-26 season.

StateSpeciesGradeMedian hunt oddsHunts at 50%+Hunts gradedData yearTop odds last draw
ColoradoDeerFair36%42%4062026DE003P3R 100%; DE011P2R 100%; DE011P3R 100%
ColoradoElkHot62%57%5052026EE003O4R 100%; EE003P1A 100%; EE003P1R 100%
ColoradoPronghornFair15%22%832026AM106O1R 100%; AM110O1M 100%; AM120O1M 100%
WyomingDeerFair42%45%1192026Area 11 Type 3 100%; Area 15 Type 3 100%; Area 23 Type 3 100%
WyomingElkFair25%30%2262026Area 28 Type 4 100%; Area 35 Type 4 100%; Area 40 Type 4 100%
WyomingPronghornTough10%6%2022026Area 23 Type 2 100%; Area 24 Type 2 100%; Area 11 Type 7 100%
MontanaDeerFair19%24%872026004-01 100%; 005-00 100%; 006-00 100%
MontanaElkFair20%21%1002026210-03 100%; 370-02 100%; 422-00 100%
MontanaPronghornFair18%11%702026007-31 100%; 586-30 100%; 546-30 80%
TexasAlligatorTough1%0%42025-26J.D. Murphree WMA (Alligator) 8%; Mad Island WMA (Alligator) 1%; Angelina Neches/Dam B WMA (Alligator) 1%
TexasDeerTough1%0%702025-26Gus Engeling WMA (Gun Deer - Antlerless/Spike) 26%; Pat Mayse WMA (Gun Deer - Either Sex) 8%; Nannie Stringfellow WMA (Archery Deer) 6%
TexasExoticTough0%0%92025-26Roger Fawcett WMA (Exotic) 1%; Palo Duro Canyon SP (Exotic) 1%; Powderhorn WMA (Exotic) 0%
TexasFeral hogTough3%0%62025-26Big Lake Bottom WMA (E-Postcard Feral Hog) 7%; Nannie Stringfellow WMA (E-Postcard Feral Hog) 6%; Justin Hurst WMA (Feral Hog) 4%
TexasJavelinaTough2%0%42025-26Big Bend Ranch SP (Javelina) 3%; Davis Mountains SP (Javelina) 2%; Chaparral WMA (Javelina) 2%
TexasSpring turkeyTough1%0%52025-26Matador WMA (Spring Turkey) 1%; Muse WMA (Spring Turkey) 1%; Kerr WMA (Spring Turkey) 1%

How we grade

  • For each hunt we take last draw’s nonresident first-choice licenses drawn divided by nonresident first-choice applicants, all point levels combined. Hunts with fewer than 10 applicants are left out.
  • The grade uses the median hunt in that state and species: Hot is 50% or better, Fair is 15% to 49%, Tough is under 15%.
  • Texas drawings do not split residents and nonresidents, so Texas uses all applicants and drawn permits from the last-year block of the TPWD catalog (youth-only hunts left out).
  • Montana uses the nonresident permit pool. Wyoming combines the nonresident preference and random pools. Colorado uses the primary draw, point-only codes left out.
  • Points change your odds a lot. Use the points tool for odds at your level.

Draw Report gear trio

Drew a tag? Three proven pieces for open country. Vortex optics are field-tested by our team; everything else is selected from reviews and specs. Brands cannot buy a spot.

Next steps: all deadlines · apply checklists · plan your hunt.

Data: Colorado Parks and Wildlife, Wyoming Game and Fish Department, Montana Fish, Wildlife & Parks and Texas Parks and Wildlife Department. Grades and tables are TagCanyon’s own, computed from the agencies’ published reports. Not affiliated with or endorsed by any agency.

Bull elk with large antlers standing in golden sagebrush

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Photo: National Park Service (GrandTetonNPS) via Wikimedia Commons, public domain. Credits