690-00 Deer B License Draw Odds, Montana

Deer b license, district 690-00 (mule), from FWP's 2023 to 2026 drawing statistics. Jump to resident odds or nonresident odds.

Fact	Value
Drawing	Deer b license, district 690-00 (mule)
2026 total quota	100
2026 nonresident cap (FWP's NR quota column)	10
2026 landowner preference cap: resident / nonresident	15 / 10
2026 first-choice applicants: resident / nonresident	328 / 52
2026 drawn on first choice: resident / nonresident	83 / 9
2026 first-choice odds: resident / nonresident	25.3% / 17.3%
2026 total successful (all choices and pools)	100

Resident odds by bonus point (2026 drawing)

Share of first-choice resident applicants at each bonus-point level who drew, from FWP's 2026 bonus point report. Each applicant gets one chance plus their points squared, so the draw favors high point holders without a hard cutoff. How Montana bonus points work.

Bonus points	Chances in drawing	1st-choice applicants	Drawn	Odds at this level
0	1	130	16	12.3%
1	2	117	28	23.9%
2	5	70	31	44.3%
3	10	11	8	72.7%

Resident outlook for 2027

If first-choice demand keeps its 2023 to 2026 trend (-47 applicants a year), about 281 residents would apply in 2027; with the same number of first-choice licenses, overall first-choice odds would be about 30%. Average bonus points among first-choice applicants are trending to about 1.0 (+0.13 a year), a measure of point creep in a weighted draw. Confidence: medium.

Landowner preference (residents, 2026): 7 first-choice applicants, 7 drawn.

Nonresident odds by bonus point (2026 drawing)

Share of first-choice nonresident applicants at each bonus-point level who drew, from FWP's 2026 bonus point report. Each applicant gets one chance plus their points squared, so the draw favors high point holders without a hard cutoff. How Montana bonus points work.

Bonus points	Chances in drawing	1st-choice applicants	Drawn	Odds at this level
0	1	23	1	4.3%
1	2	18	1	5.6%
2	5	8	4	50.0%
3	10	2	2	100.0%
7	50	1	1	100.0%

Nonresident outlook for 2027

If first-choice demand keeps its 2023 to 2026 trend (-22 applicants a year), about 30 nonresidents would apply in 2027; with the same number of first-choice licenses, overall first-choice odds would be about 30%. Average bonus points among first-choice applicants are trending to about 1.1 (+0.18 a year), a measure of point creep in a weighted draw. Confidence: low.

Landowner preference (nonresidents, 2026): 1 first-choice applicants, 1 drawn.

First-choice odds by year

First-choice draws over first-choice applicants in the regular drawing (landowner preference excluded).

Draw year	Quota	Res applicants	Res odds	NR applicants	NR odds
2023	600	470	100.0%	118	61.9%
2024	250	414	54.1%	89	27.0%
2025	100	349	24.1%	88	10.2%
2026	100	328	25.3%	52	17.3%

Outlook method: see the top of the Montana points explainer and our forecast method. It is a trend line, not a promise.

Notes from TagCanyon

In 2026, 328 residents listed this drawing first for a quota of 100, about 3.3 resident applicants per license.
Residents: at 0 bonus points 12% drew; at 3 points (the highest level with at least 5 applicants) 73% drew.
Nonresidents: at 0 bonus points 4% drew; at 2 points (the highest level with at least 5 applicants) 50% drew.

Deadline

Elk B, deer B, antelope and antelope B licenses: FWP's 2026 window ran Mar 1 to Jun 1, 2026 (11:45 p.m. Mountain). FWP has not posted 2027 dates yet; the June 1 deadline has held in recent years. FWP application and drawing dates.

Source: Montana Fish, Wildlife & Parks (FWP), 2026 Drawing Statistics reports (MyFWP drawing statistics, FWP application and drawing dates). Tables, outlooks and text are TagCanyon's own; FWP does not warrant or endorse them. Not affiliated with FWP. Retrieved Oct 17, 2026.