600-01 Deer B License Draw Odds, Montana

Deer b license, district 600-01 (mule), from FWP's 2023 to 2026 drawing statistics. Jump to resident odds or nonresident odds.

Fact	Value
Drawing	Deer b license, district 600-01 (mule)
2026 total quota	500
2026 nonresident cap (FWP's NR quota column)	50
2026 landowner preference cap: resident / nonresident	75 / 50
2026 first-choice applicants: resident / nonresident	217 / 66
2026 drawn on first choice: resident / nonresident	217 / 65
2026 first-choice odds: resident / nonresident	100.0% / 98.5%
2026 total successful (all choices and pools)	430

Resident odds by bonus point (2026 drawing)

Share of first-choice resident applicants at each bonus-point level who drew, from FWP's 2026 bonus point report. Each applicant gets one chance plus their points squared, so the draw favors high point holders without a hard cutoff. How Montana bonus points work.

Bonus points	Chances in drawing	1st-choice applicants	Drawn	Odds at this level
0	1	117	117	100.0%
1	2	86	86	100.0%
2	5	11	11	100.0%
3	10	3	3	100.0%

Resident outlook for 2027

If first-choice demand keeps its 2023 to 2026 trend (-2 applicants a year), about 215 residents would apply in 2027; with the same number of first-choice licenses, overall first-choice odds would be about 100%. Average bonus points among first-choice applicants are trending to about 0.6 (+0.03 a year), a measure of point creep in a weighted draw. Confidence: medium.

Landowner preference (residents, 2026): 6 first-choice applicants, 6 drawn.

Nonresident odds by bonus point (2026 drawing)

Share of first-choice nonresident applicants at each bonus-point level who drew, from FWP's 2026 bonus point report. Each applicant gets one chance plus their points squared, so the draw favors high point holders without a hard cutoff. How Montana bonus points work.

Bonus points	Chances in drawing	1st-choice applicants	Drawn	Odds at this level
0	1	38	38	100.0%
1	2	19	18	94.7%
2	5	9	9	100.0%

Nonresident outlook for 2027

If first-choice demand keeps its 2023 to 2026 trend (+8 applicants a year), about 74 nonresidents would apply in 2027; with the same number of first-choice licenses, overall first-choice odds would be about 87%. Average bonus points among first-choice applicants are trending to about 0.6 (+0.06 a year), a measure of point creep in a weighted draw. Confidence: low.

Landowner preference (nonresidents, 2026): 1 first-choice applicants, 1 drawn.

First-choice odds by year

First-choice draws over first-choice applicants in the regular drawing (landowner preference excluded).

Draw year	Quota	Res applicants	Res odds	NR applicants	NR odds
2023	1,000	223	100.0%	41	100.0%
2024	500	189	100.0%	56	100.0%
2025	500	189	100.0%	60	100.0%
2026	500	217	100.0%	66	98.5%

Outlook method: see the top of the Montana points explainer and our forecast method. It is a trend line, not a promise.

Notes from TagCanyon

In 2026, 217 residents listed this drawing first for a quota of 500, about 0.4 resident applicants per license.
Licenses still went to second or third choices in 2026, so the drawing did not fill on first choice.
FWP reported 70 left as surplus after the 2026 drawing.
Residents: at 0 bonus points 100% drew; at 2 points (the highest level with at least 5 applicants) 100% drew.
Nonresidents: at 0 bonus points 100% drew; at 2 points (the highest level with at least 5 applicants) 100% drew.

Deadline

Elk B, deer B, antelope and antelope B licenses: FWP's 2026 window ran Mar 1 to Jun 1, 2026 (11:45 p.m. Mountain). FWP has not posted 2027 dates yet; the June 1 deadline has held in recent years. FWP application and drawing dates.

Source: Montana Fish, Wildlife & Parks (FWP), 2026 Drawing Statistics reports (MyFWP drawing statistics, FWP application and drawing dates). Tables, outlooks and text are TagCanyon's own; FWP does not warrant or endorse them. Not affiliated with FWP. Retrieved Oct 17, 2026.