555-00 Deer B License Draw Odds, Montana

Deer b license, district 555-00 (mule), from FWP's 2023 to 2026 drawing statistics. Jump to resident odds or nonresident odds.

Fact	Value
Drawing	Deer b license, district 555-00 (mule)
2026 total quota	150
2026 nonresident cap (FWP's NR quota column)	15
2026 landowner preference cap: resident / nonresident	23 / 15
2026 first-choice applicants: resident / nonresident	102 / 21
2026 drawn on first choice: resident / nonresident	102 / 15
2026 first-choice odds: resident / nonresident	100.0% / 71.4%
2026 total successful (all choices and pools)	150

Resident odds by bonus point (2026 drawing)

Share of first-choice resident applicants at each bonus-point level who drew, from FWP's 2026 bonus point report. Each applicant gets one chance plus their points squared, so the draw favors high point holders without a hard cutoff. How Montana bonus points work.

Bonus points	Chances in drawing	1st-choice applicants	Drawn	Odds at this level
0	1	50	50	100.0%
1	2	46	46	100.0%
2	5	4	4	100.0%
3	10	2	2	100.0%

Resident outlook for 2027

If first-choice demand keeps its 2023 to 2026 trend (+7 applicants a year), about 109 residents would apply in 2027; with the same number of first-choice licenses, overall first-choice odds would be about 94%. Average bonus points among first-choice applicants are trending to about 0.6 (+0.01 a year), a measure of point creep in a weighted draw. Confidence: medium.

Nonresident odds by bonus point (2026 drawing)

Share of first-choice nonresident applicants at each bonus-point level who drew, from FWP's 2026 bonus point report. Each applicant gets one chance plus their points squared, so the draw favors high point holders without a hard cutoff. How Montana bonus points work.

Bonus points	Chances in drawing	1st-choice applicants	Drawn	Odds at this level
0	1	11	6	54.5%
1	2	10	9	90.0%

Nonresident outlook for 2027

If first-choice demand keeps its 2023 to 2026 trend (+1 applicants a year), about 22 nonresidents would apply in 2027; with the same number of first-choice licenses, overall first-choice odds would be about 68%. Average bonus points among first-choice applicants are trending to about 0.5 (+0.03 a year), a measure of point creep in a weighted draw. Confidence: low.

First-choice odds by year

First-choice draws over first-choice applicants in the regular drawing (landowner preference excluded).

Draw year	Quota	Res applicants	Res odds	NR applicants	NR odds
2023	150	81	100.0%	18	100.0%
2024	150	84	100.0%	14	100.0%
2025	150	89	100.0%	22	86.4%
2026	150	102	100.0%	21	71.4%

Outlook method: see the top of the Montana points explainer and our forecast method. It is a trend line, not a promise.

Notes from TagCanyon

In 2026, 102 residents listed this drawing first for a quota of 150, about 0.7 resident applicants per license.
Licenses still went to second or third choices in 2026, so the drawing did not fill on first choice.
Residents: at 0 bonus points 100% drew; at 1 points (the highest level with at least 5 applicants) 100% drew.
Nonresidents: at 0 bonus points 55% drew; at 1 points (the highest level with at least 5 applicants) 90% drew.

Deadline

Elk B, deer B, antelope and antelope B licenses: FWP's 2026 window ran Mar 1 to Jun 1, 2026 (11:45 p.m. Mountain). FWP has not posted 2027 dates yet; the June 1 deadline has held in recent years. FWP application and drawing dates.

Source: Montana Fish, Wildlife & Parks (FWP), 2026 Drawing Statistics reports (MyFWP drawing statistics, FWP application and drawing dates). Tables, outlooks and text are TagCanyon's own; FWP does not warrant or endorse them. Not affiliated with FWP. Retrieved Oct 17, 2026.