121-00 Deer B License Draw Odds, Montana

Deer b license, district 121-00 (wt), from FWP's 2023 to 2026 drawing statistics. Jump to resident odds or nonresident odds.

Fact	Value
Drawing	Deer b license, district 121-00 (wt)
2026 total quota	150
2026 nonresident cap (FWP's NR quota column)	15
2026 landowner preference cap: resident / nonresident	23 / 15
2026 first-choice applicants: resident / nonresident	652 / 42
2026 drawn on first choice: resident / nonresident	145 / 5
2026 first-choice odds: resident / nonresident	22.2% / 11.9%
2026 total successful (all choices and pools)	150

Resident odds by bonus point (2026 drawing)

Share of first-choice resident applicants at each bonus-point level who drew, from FWP's 2026 bonus point report. Each applicant gets one chance plus their points squared, so the draw favors high point holders without a hard cutoff. How Montana bonus points work.

Bonus points	Chances in drawing	1st-choice applicants	Drawn	Odds at this level
0	1	182	15	8.2%
1	2	201	23	11.4%
2	5	138	35	25.4%
3	10	96	50	52.1%
4	17	29	20	69.0%
5	26	5	1	20.0%
6	37	1	1	100.0%

Resident outlook for 2027

If first-choice demand keeps its 2023 to 2026 trend (+44 applicants a year), about 696 residents would apply in 2027; with the same number of first-choice licenses, overall first-choice odds would be about 21%. Average bonus points among first-choice applicants are trending to about 1.5 (+0.12 a year), a measure of point creep in a weighted draw. Confidence: medium.

Nonresident odds by bonus point (2026 drawing)

Share of first-choice nonresident applicants at each bonus-point level who drew, from FWP's 2026 bonus point report. Each applicant gets one chance plus their points squared, so the draw favors high point holders without a hard cutoff. How Montana bonus points work.

Bonus points	Chances in drawing	1st-choice applicants	Drawn	Odds at this level
0	1	8	0	0.0%
1	2	14	0	0.0%
2	5	15	3	20.0%
3	10	4	2	50.0%
4	17	1	0	0.0%

Nonresident outlook for 2027

If first-choice demand keeps its 2023 to 2026 trend (-2 applicants a year), about 40 nonresidents would apply in 2027; with the same number of first-choice licenses, overall first-choice odds would be about 13%. Average bonus points among first-choice applicants are trending to about 1.5 (+0.08 a year), a measure of point creep in a weighted draw. Confidence: medium.

First-choice odds by year

First-choice draws over first-choice applicants in the regular drawing (landowner preference excluded).

Draw year	Quota	Res applicants	Res odds	NR applicants	NR odds
2023	150	520	26.9%	49	20.4%
2024	150	627	21.5%	58	24.1%
2025	150	644	21.7%	53	18.9%
2026	150	652	22.2%	42	11.9%

Outlook method: see the top of the Montana points explainer and our forecast method. It is a trend line, not a promise.

Notes from TagCanyon

In 2026, 652 residents listed this drawing first for a quota of 150, about 4.3 resident applicants per license.
Residents: at 0 bonus points 8% drew; at 5 points (the highest level with at least 5 applicants) 20% drew.
Nonresidents: at 0 bonus points 0% drew; at 2 points (the highest level with at least 5 applicants) 20% drew.

Deadline

Elk B, deer B, antelope and antelope B licenses: FWP's 2026 window ran Mar 1 to Jun 1, 2026 (11:45 p.m. Mountain). FWP has not posted 2027 dates yet; the June 1 deadline has held in recent years. FWP application and drawing dates.

Source: Montana Fish, Wildlife & Parks (FWP), 2026 Drawing Statistics reports (MyFWP drawing statistics, FWP application and drawing dates). Tables, outlooks and text are TagCanyon's own; FWP does not warrant or endorse them. Not affiliated with FWP. Retrieved Oct 17, 2026.