640-30 Antelope B License Draw Odds, Montana

Antelope b license, district 640-30, from FWP's 2023 to 2026 drawing statistics. Jump to resident odds or nonresident odds.

Fact	Value
Drawing	Antelope b license, district 640-30
2026 total quota	25
2026 nonresident cap (FWP's NR quota column)	2
2026 landowner preference cap: resident / nonresident	4 / 2
2026 first-choice applicants: resident / nonresident	159 / 7
2026 drawn on first choice: resident / nonresident	21 / 2
2026 first-choice odds: resident / nonresident	13.2% / 28.6%
2026 total successful (all choices and pools)	25

Resident odds by bonus point (2026 drawing)

Share of first-choice resident applicants at each bonus-point level who drew, from FWP's 2026 bonus point report. Each applicant gets one chance plus their points squared, so the draw favors high point holders without a hard cutoff. How Montana bonus points work.

Bonus points	Chances in drawing	1st-choice applicants	Drawn	Odds at this level
0	1	45	1	2.2%
1	2	60	4	6.7%
2	5	24	5	20.8%
3	10	19	4	21.1%
4	17	11	7	63.6%

Resident outlook for 2027

If first-choice demand keeps its 2023 to 2026 trend (+6 applicants a year), about 165 residents would apply in 2027; with the same number of first-choice licenses, overall first-choice odds would be about 13%. Average bonus points among first-choice applicants are trending to about 1.4 (+0.12 a year), a measure of point creep in a weighted draw. Confidence: medium.

Landowner preference (residents, 2026): 2 first-choice applicants, 2 drawn.

Nonresident odds by bonus point (2026 drawing)

Share of first-choice nonresident applicants at each bonus-point level who drew, from FWP's 2026 bonus point report. Each applicant gets one chance plus their points squared, so the draw favors high point holders without a hard cutoff. How Montana bonus points work.

Bonus points	Chances in drawing	1st-choice applicants	Drawn	Odds at this level
0	1	1	0	0.0%
1	2	3	0	0.0%
2	5	3	2	66.7%

Nonresident outlook for 2027

If first-choice demand keeps its 2023 to 2026 trend (-3 applicants a year), about 4 nonresidents would apply in 2027; with the same number of first-choice licenses, overall first-choice odds would be about 50%. Average bonus points among first-choice applicants are trending to about 1.3 (+0.01 a year), a measure of point creep in a weighted draw. Confidence: low.

First-choice odds by year

First-choice draws over first-choice applicants in the regular drawing (landowner preference excluded).

Draw year	Quota	Res applicants	Res odds	NR applicants	NR odds
2023	25	141	15.6%	16	6.2%
2024	25	135	16.3%	8	25.0%
2025	25	131	16.8%	6	0.0%
2026	25	159	13.2%	7	28.6%

Outlook method: see the top of the Montana points explainer and our forecast method. It is a trend line, not a promise.

Notes from TagCanyon

In 2026, 159 residents listed this drawing first for a quota of 25, about 6.4 resident applicants per license.
Residents: at 0 bonus points 2% drew; at 4 points (the highest level with at least 5 applicants) 64% drew.

Deadline

Elk B, deer B, antelope and antelope B licenses: FWP's 2026 window ran Mar 1 to Jun 1, 2026 (11:45 p.m. Mountain). FWP has not posted 2027 dates yet; the June 1 deadline has held in recent years. FWP application and drawing dates.

Source: Montana Fish, Wildlife & Parks (FWP), 2026 Drawing Statistics reports (MyFWP drawing statistics, FWP application and drawing dates). Tables, outlooks and text are TagCanyon's own; FWP does not warrant or endorse them. Not affiliated with FWP. Retrieved Oct 17, 2026.