630-30 Antelope B License Draw Odds, Montana

Antelope b license, district 630-30, from FWP's 2023 to 2026 drawing statistics. Jump to resident odds or nonresident odds.

Fact	Value
Drawing	Antelope b license, district 630-30
2026 total quota	100
2026 nonresident cap (FWP's NR quota column)	10
2026 landowner preference cap: resident / nonresident	15 / 10
2026 first-choice applicants: resident / nonresident	395 / 25
2026 drawn on first choice: resident / nonresident	93 / 2
2026 first-choice odds: resident / nonresident	23.5% / 8.0%
2026 total successful (all choices and pools)	100

Resident odds by bonus point (2026 drawing)

Share of first-choice resident applicants at each bonus-point level who drew, from FWP's 2026 bonus point report. Each applicant gets one chance plus their points squared, so the draw favors high point holders without a hard cutoff. How Montana bonus points work.

Bonus points	Chances in drawing	1st-choice applicants	Drawn	Odds at this level
0	1	61	5	8.2%
1	2	96	7	7.3%
2	5	90	21	23.3%
3	10	76	19	25.0%
4	17	37	22	59.5%
5	26	23	13	56.5%
6	37	10	5	50.0%
7	50	2	1	50.0%

Resident outlook for 2027

If first-choice demand keeps its 2023 to 2026 trend (+48 applicants a year), about 443 residents would apply in 2027; with the same number of first-choice licenses, overall first-choice odds would be about 21%. Average bonus points among first-choice applicants are trending to about 2.4 (+0.24 a year), a measure of point creep in a weighted draw. Confidence: medium.

Landowner preference (residents, 2026): 5 first-choice applicants, 5 drawn.

Nonresident odds by bonus point (2026 drawing)

Share of first-choice nonresident applicants at each bonus-point level who drew, from FWP's 2026 bonus point report. Each applicant gets one chance plus their points squared, so the draw favors high point holders without a hard cutoff. How Montana bonus points work.

Bonus points	Chances in drawing	1st-choice applicants	Drawn	Odds at this level
0	1	3	0	0.0%
1	2	12	0	0.0%
2	5	4	0	0.0%
3	10	4	1	25.0%
4	17	1	1	100.0%
5	26	1	0	0.0%

Nonresident outlook for 2027

If first-choice demand keeps its 2023 to 2026 trend (+2 applicants a year), about 27 nonresidents would apply in 2027; with the same number of first-choice licenses, overall first-choice odds would be about 7%. Average bonus points among first-choice applicants are trending to about 1.5 (-0.14 a year), a measure of point creep in a weighted draw. Confidence: low.

First-choice odds by year

First-choice draws over first-choice applicants in the regular drawing (landowner preference excluded).

Draw year	Quota	Res applicants	Res odds	NR applicants	NR odds
2023	50	251	16.7%	19	21.1%
2024	50	316	13.9%	20	10.0%
2025	50	359	12.0%	16	12.5%
2026	100	395	23.5%	25	8.0%

Outlook method: see the top of the Montana points explainer and our forecast method. It is a trend line, not a promise.

Notes from TagCanyon

In 2026, 395 residents listed this drawing first for a quota of 100, about 4.0 resident applicants per license.
Residents: at 0 bonus points 8% drew; at 6 points (the highest level with at least 5 applicants) 50% drew.

Deadline

Elk B, deer B, antelope and antelope B licenses: FWP's 2026 window ran Mar 1 to Jun 1, 2026 (11:45 p.m. Mountain). FWP has not posted 2027 dates yet; the June 1 deadline has held in recent years. FWP application and drawing dates.

Source: Montana Fish, Wildlife & Parks (FWP), 2026 Drawing Statistics reports (MyFWP drawing statistics, FWP application and drawing dates). Tables, outlooks and text are TagCanyon's own; FWP does not warrant or endorse them. Not affiliated with FWP. Retrieved Oct 17, 2026.