650-20 Antelope License Draw Odds, Montana

Antelope license, district 650-20, from FWP's 2023 to 2026 drawing statistics. Jump to resident odds or nonresident odds.

Fact	Value
Drawing	Antelope license, district 650-20
2026 total quota	700
2026 nonresident cap (FWP's NR quota column)	70
2026 landowner preference cap: resident / nonresident	105 / 70
2026 first-choice applicants: resident / nonresident	1,087 / 388
2026 drawn on first choice: resident / nonresident	616 / 67
2026 first-choice odds: resident / nonresident	56.7% / 17.3%
2026 total successful (all choices and pools)	700

Resident odds by bonus point (2026 drawing)

Share of first-choice resident applicants at each bonus-point level who drew, from FWP's 2026 bonus point report. Each applicant gets one chance plus their points squared, so the draw favors high point holders without a hard cutoff. How Montana bonus points work.

Bonus points	Chances in drawing	1st-choice applicants	Drawn	Odds at this level
0	1	264	98	37.1%
1	2	551	271	49.2%
2	5	192	168	87.5%
3	10	67	66	98.5%
4	17	8	8	100.0%
5	26	3	3	100.0%
6	37	1	1	100.0%
8	65	1	1	100.0%

Resident outlook for 2027

If first-choice demand keeps its 2023 to 2026 trend (-15 applicants a year), about 1,072 residents would apply in 2027; with the same number of first-choice licenses, overall first-choice odds would be about 57%. Average bonus points among first-choice applicants are trending to about 1.2 (+0.06 a year), a measure of point creep in a weighted draw. Confidence: medium.

Landowner preference (residents, 2026): 16 first-choice applicants, 16 drawn.

Nonresident odds by bonus point (2026 drawing)

Share of first-choice nonresident applicants at each bonus-point level who drew, from FWP's 2026 bonus point report. Each applicant gets one chance plus their points squared, so the draw favors high point holders without a hard cutoff. How Montana bonus points work.

Bonus points	Chances in drawing	1st-choice applicants	Drawn	Odds at this level
0	1	69	1	1.4%
1	2	141	8	5.7%
2	5	68	10	14.7%
3	10	67	27	40.3%
4	17	27	10	37.0%
5	26	12	7	58.3%
6	37	2	2	100.0%
7	50	1	1	100.0%
8	65	1	1	100.0%

Nonresident outlook for 2027

If first-choice demand keeps its 2023 to 2026 trend (+21 applicants a year), about 409 nonresidents would apply in 2027; with the same number of first-choice licenses, overall first-choice odds would be about 16%. Average bonus points among first-choice applicants are trending to about 1.8 (+0.09 a year), a measure of point creep in a weighted draw. Confidence: medium.

Landowner preference (nonresidents, 2026): 1 first-choice applicants, 1 drawn.

First-choice odds by year

First-choice draws over first-choice applicants in the regular drawing (landowner preference excluded).

Draw year	Quota	Res applicants	Res odds	NR applicants	NR odds
2023	700	1,131	54.2%	324	21.6%
2024	500	1,208	35.8%	345	13.9%
2025	700	1,083	56.5%	315	22.2%
2026	700	1,087	56.7%	388	17.3%

Outlook method: see the top of the Montana points explainer and our forecast method. It is a trend line, not a promise.

Notes from TagCanyon

In 2026, 1,087 residents listed this drawing first for a quota of 700, about 1.6 resident applicants per license.
Residents: at 0 bonus points 37% drew; at 4 points (the highest level with at least 5 applicants) 100% drew.
Nonresidents: at 0 bonus points 1% drew; at 5 points (the highest level with at least 5 applicants) 58% drew.

Deadline

Elk B, deer B, antelope and antelope B licenses: FWP's 2026 window ran Mar 1 to Jun 1, 2026 (11:45 p.m. Mountain). FWP has not posted 2027 dates yet; the June 1 deadline has held in recent years. FWP application and drawing dates.

Source: Montana Fish, Wildlife & Parks (FWP), 2026 Drawing Statistics reports (MyFWP drawing statistics, FWP application and drawing dates). Tables, outlooks and text are TagCanyon's own; FWP does not warrant or endorse them. Not affiliated with FWP. Retrieved Oct 17, 2026.