506-20 Antelope License Draw Odds, Montana

Antelope license, district 506-20, from FWP's 2023 to 2026 drawing statistics. Jump to resident odds or nonresident odds.

Fact	Value
Drawing	Antelope license, district 506-20
2026 total quota	200
2026 nonresident cap (FWP's NR quota column)	20
2026 landowner preference cap: resident / nonresident	30 / 20
2026 first-choice applicants: resident / nonresident	226 / 74
2026 drawn on first choice: resident / nonresident	179 / 19
2026 first-choice odds: resident / nonresident	79.2% / 25.7%
2026 total successful (all choices and pools)	200

Resident odds by bonus point (2026 drawing)

Share of first-choice resident applicants at each bonus-point level who drew, from FWP's 2026 bonus point report. Each applicant gets one chance plus their points squared, so the draw favors high point holders without a hard cutoff. How Montana bonus points work.

Bonus points	Chances in drawing	1st-choice applicants	Drawn	Odds at this level
0	1	87	55	63.2%
1	2	119	105	88.2%
2	5	14	13	92.9%
3	10	4	4	100.0%
4	17	1	1	100.0%
5	26	1	1	100.0%

Resident outlook for 2027

If first-choice demand keeps its 2023 to 2026 trend (+2 applicants a year), about 228 residents would apply in 2027; with the same number of first-choice licenses, overall first-choice odds would be about 79%. Average bonus points among first-choice applicants are trending to about 0.8 (+0.06 a year), a measure of point creep in a weighted draw. Confidence: medium.

Landowner preference (residents, 2026): 1 first-choice applicants, 1 drawn.

Nonresident odds by bonus point (2026 drawing)

Share of first-choice nonresident applicants at each bonus-point level who drew, from FWP's 2026 bonus point report. Each applicant gets one chance plus their points squared, so the draw favors high point holders without a hard cutoff. How Montana bonus points work.

Bonus points	Chances in drawing	1st-choice applicants	Drawn	Odds at this level
0	1	7	0	0.0%
1	2	35	6	17.1%
2	5	16	2	12.5%
3	10	13	9	69.2%
4	17	2	1	50.0%
7	50	1	1	100.0%

Nonresident outlook for 2027

If first-choice demand keeps its 2023 to 2026 trend (+4 applicants a year), about 78 nonresidents would apply in 2027; with the same number of first-choice licenses, overall first-choice odds would be about 24%. Average bonus points among first-choice applicants are trending to about 1.8 (+0.13 a year), a measure of point creep in a weighted draw. Confidence: medium.

Landowner preference (nonresidents, 2026): 1 first-choice applicants, 1 drawn.

First-choice odds by year

First-choice draws over first-choice applicants in the regular drawing (landowner preference excluded).

Draw year	Quota	Res applicants	Res odds	NR applicants	NR odds
2023	250	221	100.0%	63	36.5%
2024	250	230	97.4%	54	44.4%
2025	200	233	76.4%	65	27.7%
2026	200	226	79.2%	74	25.7%

Outlook method: see the top of the Montana points explainer and our forecast method. It is a trend line, not a promise.

Notes from TagCanyon

In 2026, 226 residents listed this drawing first for a quota of 200, about 1.1 resident applicants per license.
Residents: at 0 bonus points 63% drew; at 2 points (the highest level with at least 5 applicants) 93% drew.
Nonresidents: at 0 bonus points 0% drew; at 3 points (the highest level with at least 5 applicants) 69% drew.

Deadline

Elk B, deer B, antelope and antelope B licenses: FWP's 2026 window ran Mar 1 to Jun 1, 2026 (11:45 p.m. Mountain). FWP has not posted 2027 dates yet; the June 1 deadline has held in recent years. FWP application and drawing dates.

Source: Montana Fish, Wildlife & Parks (FWP), 2026 Drawing Statistics reports (MyFWP drawing statistics, FWP application and drawing dates). Tables, outlooks and text are TagCanyon's own; FWP does not warrant or endorse them. Not affiliated with FWP. Retrieved Oct 17, 2026.