490-30 Antelope B License Draw Odds, Montana

Antelope b license, district 490-30, from FWP's 2023 to 2026 drawing statistics. Jump to resident odds or nonresident odds.

Fact	Value
Drawing	Antelope b license, district 490-30
2026 total quota	125
2026 nonresident cap (FWP's NR quota column)	12
2026 landowner preference cap: resident / nonresident	19 / 12
2026 first-choice applicants: resident / nonresident	637 / 11
2026 drawn on first choice: resident / nonresident	121 / 1
2026 first-choice odds: resident / nonresident	19.0% / 9.1%
2026 total successful (all choices and pools)	125

Resident odds by bonus point (2026 drawing)

Share of first-choice resident applicants at each bonus-point level who drew, from FWP's 2026 bonus point report. Each applicant gets one chance plus their points squared, so the draw favors high point holders without a hard cutoff. How Montana bonus points work.

Bonus points	Chances in drawing	1st-choice applicants	Drawn	Odds at this level
0	1	124	6	4.8%
1	2	200	22	11.0%
2	5	146	17	11.6%
3	10	81	29	35.8%
4	17	72	37	51.4%
5	26	11	7	63.6%
6	37	2	2	100.0%
8	65	1	1	100.0%

Resident outlook for 2027

If first-choice demand keeps its 2023 to 2026 trend (-12 applicants a year), about 625 residents would apply in 2027; with the same number of first-choice licenses, overall first-choice odds would be about 19%. Average bonus points among first-choice applicants are trending to about 2.0 (+0.25 a year), a measure of point creep in a weighted draw. Confidence: medium.

Landowner preference (residents, 2026): 3 first-choice applicants, 3 drawn.

Nonresident odds by bonus point (2026 drawing)

Share of first-choice nonresident applicants at each bonus-point level who drew, from FWP's 2026 bonus point report. Each applicant gets one chance plus their points squared, so the draw favors high point holders without a hard cutoff. How Montana bonus points work.

Bonus points	Chances in drawing	1st-choice applicants	Drawn	Odds at this level
0	1	1	0	0.0%
1	2	4	0	0.0%
2	5	4	1	25.0%
3	10	1	0	0.0%
4	17	1	0	0.0%

Nonresident outlook for 2027

If first-choice demand keeps its 2023 to 2026 trend (-3 applicants a year), about 8 nonresidents would apply in 2027; with the same number of first-choice licenses, overall first-choice odds would be about 13%. Average bonus points among first-choice applicants are trending to about 2.0 (+0.27 a year), a measure of point creep in a weighted draw. Confidence: low.

First-choice odds by year

First-choice draws over first-choice applicants in the regular drawing (landowner preference excluded).

Draw year	Quota	Res applicants	Res odds	NR applicants	NR odds
2023	75	673	10.3%	21	9.5%
2024	125	538	21.9%	15	26.7%
2025	125	575	21.0%	10	0.0%
2026	125	637	19.0%	11	9.1%

Outlook method: see the top of the Montana points explainer and our forecast method. It is a trend line, not a promise.

Notes from TagCanyon

In 2026, 637 residents listed this drawing first for a quota of 125, about 5.1 resident applicants per license.
Residents: at 0 bonus points 5% drew; at 5 points (the highest level with at least 5 applicants) 64% drew.

Deadline

Elk B, deer B, antelope and antelope B licenses: FWP's 2026 window ran Mar 1 to Jun 1, 2026 (11:45 p.m. Mountain). FWP has not posted 2027 dates yet; the June 1 deadline has held in recent years. FWP application and drawing dates.

Source: Montana Fish, Wildlife & Parks (FWP), 2026 Drawing Statistics reports (MyFWP drawing statistics, FWP application and drawing dates). Tables, outlooks and text are TagCanyon's own; FWP does not warrant or endorse them. Not affiliated with FWP. Retrieved Oct 17, 2026.