490-20 Antelope License Draw Odds, Montana

Antelope license, district 490-20, from FWP's 2023 to 2026 drawing statistics. Jump to resident odds or nonresident odds.

Fact	Value
Drawing	Antelope license, district 490-20
2026 total quota	150
2026 nonresident cap (FWP's NR quota column)	15
2026 landowner preference cap: resident / nonresident	23 / 15
2026 first-choice applicants: resident / nonresident	956 / 126
2026 drawn on first choice: resident / nonresident	132 / 13
2026 first-choice odds: resident / nonresident	13.8% / 10.3%
2026 total successful (all choices and pools)	150

Resident odds by bonus point (2026 drawing)

Share of first-choice resident applicants at each bonus-point level who drew, from FWP's 2026 bonus point report. Each applicant gets one chance plus their points squared, so the draw favors high point holders without a hard cutoff. How Montana bonus points work.

Bonus points	Chances in drawing	1st-choice applicants	Drawn	Odds at this level
0	1	182	1	0.5%
1	2	262	18	6.9%
2	5	213	21	9.9%
3	10	149	34	22.8%
4	17	97	27	27.8%
5	26	37	19	51.4%
6	37	13	9	69.2%
7	50	3	3	100.0%

Resident outlook for 2027

If first-choice demand keeps its 2023 to 2026 trend (-11 applicants a year), about 945 residents would apply in 2027; with the same number of first-choice licenses, overall first-choice odds would be about 14%. Average bonus points among first-choice applicants are trending to about 2.1 (+0.23 a year), a measure of point creep in a weighted draw. Confidence: medium.

Landowner preference (residents, 2026): 5 first-choice applicants, 5 drawn.

Nonresident odds by bonus point (2026 drawing)

Share of first-choice nonresident applicants at each bonus-point level who drew, from FWP's 2026 bonus point report. Each applicant gets one chance plus their points squared, so the draw favors high point holders without a hard cutoff. How Montana bonus points work.

Bonus points	Chances in drawing	1st-choice applicants	Drawn	Odds at this level
0	1	22	0	0.0%
1	2	41	1	2.4%
2	5	19	3	15.8%
3	10	19	1	5.3%
4	17	15	5	33.3%
5	26	4	0	0.0%
6	37	6	3	50.0%

Nonresident outlook for 2027

If first-choice demand keeps its 2023 to 2026 trend (-6 applicants a year), about 120 nonresidents would apply in 2027; with the same number of first-choice licenses, overall first-choice odds would be about 11%. Average bonus points among first-choice applicants are trending to about 2.2 (+0.20 a year), a measure of point creep in a weighted draw. Confidence: medium.

First-choice odds by year

First-choice draws over first-choice applicants in the regular drawing (landowner preference excluded).

Draw year	Quota	Res applicants	Res odds	NR applicants	NR odds
2023	125	990	10.9%	144	8.3%
2024	150	861	15.4%	133	10.5%
2025	150	860	15.1%	119	12.6%
2026	150	956	13.8%	126	10.3%

Outlook method: see the top of the Montana points explainer and our forecast method. It is a trend line, not a promise.

Notes from TagCanyon

In 2026, 956 residents listed this drawing first for a quota of 150, about 6.4 resident applicants per license.
Residents: at 0 bonus points 1% drew; at 6 points (the highest level with at least 5 applicants) 69% drew.
Nonresidents: at 0 bonus points 0% drew; at 6 points (the highest level with at least 5 applicants) 50% drew.

Deadline

Elk B, deer B, antelope and antelope B licenses: FWP's 2026 window ran Mar 1 to Jun 1, 2026 (11:45 p.m. Mountain). FWP has not posted 2027 dates yet; the June 1 deadline has held in recent years. FWP application and drawing dates.

Source: Montana Fish, Wildlife & Parks (FWP), 2026 Drawing Statistics reports (MyFWP drawing statistics, FWP application and drawing dates). Tables, outlooks and text are TagCanyon's own; FWP does not warrant or endorse them. Not affiliated with FWP. Retrieved Oct 17, 2026.