Wyoming Pronghorn Area 5 Type 1 Draw Odds

Pronghorn hunt area 005, type 1 (any antelope, as WGFD labels it). Jump to resident odds or nonresident odds.

Fact	Value
Hunt	Pronghorn, Area 5 Type 1: any antelope
2026 resident quota / first-choice applicants	70 / 192
2026 resident simple odds (random draw)	36.5%
2026 nonresident regular quota: preference pool / random pool	8 / 2
2026 nonresident special quota: preference pool / random pool	6 / 2
2026 nonresident regular: preference cut	4 pts (20% drew at that level)
2026 nonresident special: preference cut	< 4 pts (40% drew at that level)

Resident odds (2026 draw)

Wyoming residents draw pronghorn licenses by random draw; preference points do not apply to residents for this species, so every resident applicant has the same chance. Simple odds are quota divided by first-choice applicants (second and third choices only pick up what is left).

Draw year	Resident quota	1st-choice applicants	Simple odds
2023	54	153	35.3%
2024	76	154	49.4%
2025	76	170	44.7%
2026	70	192	36.5%

Resident outlook for 2027

Resident odds moved +0.4 percentage points a year on average from 2023 to 2026. If quota and demand follow that line, 2027 odds land near 37%.

Nonresident odds by preference point (2026 draw)

For nonresidents WGFD sets aside most licenses for a preference-point draw and the rest for a random draw that also takes everyone who missed in the point draw. The first odds column is WGFD's published first-choice success rate at each level; the second adds our simple random-draw estimate (random quota over first-choice random applicants). Rows marked < are party applications whose averaged points fall between two levels.

Regular license

Your points	1st-choice applicants	Preference draw odds (WGFD)	With random draw added (est.)
7	1	100.0%	100.0%
6	4	100.0%	100.0%
5	2	100.0%	100.0%
4	5	20.0%	22.5%
< 4	61	0.0%	3.1%

Forecast for 2027: About 5 preference points is where the draw is likely to cut off next year, so applicants at 6 or more are likely to draw on first choice. Point creep has averaged +0.43 points a year (2023 to 2026). Confidence: medium.

Special license (higher fee, separate quota)

Your points	1st-choice applicants	Preference draw odds (WGFD)	With random draw added (est.)
< 5	2	100.0%	100.0%
< 4	10	40.0%	50.9%
<= 3	6	0.0%	18.2%

Forecast for 2027: About 4 preference points is where the draw is likely to cut off next year, so applicants at 5 or more are likely to draw on first choice. Point creep has averaged +0.48 points a year (2023 to 2026). Confidence: medium.

History

Draw year	NR regular cut	NR special cut	NR random odds (regular)
2023	< 4 pts (all drew at that level)	< 3 pts (83% drew at that level)	4.4%
2024	5 pts (50% drew at that level)	< 3 pts (60% drew at that level)	3.6%
2025	< 6 pts (60% drew at that level)	< 3 pts (20% drew at that level)	7.3%
2026	4 pts (20% drew at that level)	< 4 pts (40% drew at that level)	3.1%

Forecast method: how we forecast point creep. It is a trend line, not a promise.

Notes from TagCanyon

In 2026, 192 residents listed this hunt first for 70 resident licenses. The nonresident regular points-to-draw index went from 3.5 in 2023 to 4.8 in 2026.

Deadline

Applications open Jan 2 and close Jun 1 on WGFD's current dates table (results in mid-June). Confirm the 2027 dates on WGFD's page. WGFD application dates.

Source: Wyoming Game and Fish Department (WGFD), 2026 Demand Reports (WGFD draw results and odds). Tables, forecasts and text are TagCanyon's own. Not affiliated with WGFD. Retrieved Oct 17, 2026.