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Wyoming Pronghorn Area 47 Type 2 Draw Odds

Pronghorn hunt area 047, type 2 (any antelope, as WGFD labels it). Jump to resident odds or nonresident odds.

FactValue
HuntPronghorn, Area 47 Type 2: any antelope
2026 resident quota / first-choice applicants400 / 607
2026 resident simple odds (random draw)65.9%
2026 nonresident regular quota: preference pool / random pool45 / 15
2026 nonresident special quota: preference pool / random pool30 / 10
2026 nonresident regular: preference cut< 8 pts (79% drew at that level)
2026 nonresident special: preference cut4 pts (25% drew at that level)

Resident odds (2026 draw)

Wyoming residents draw pronghorn licenses by random draw; preference points do not apply to residents for this species, so every resident applicant has the same chance. Simple odds are quota divided by first-choice applicants (second and third choices only pick up what is left).

Draw yearResident quota1st-choice applicantsSimple odds
202340063962.6%
202440056770.5%
202540075852.8%
202640060765.9%

Resident outlook for 2027

Resident odds moved +1.1 percentage points a year on average from 2023 to 2026. If quota and demand follow that line, 2027 odds land near 67%.

Nonresident odds by preference point (2026 draw)

For nonresidents WGFD sets aside most licenses for a preference-point draw and the rest for a random draw that also takes everyone who missed in the point draw. The first odds column is WGFD's published first-choice success rate at each level; the second adds our simple random-draw estimate (random quota over first-choice random applicants). Rows marked < are party applications whose averaged points fall between two levels.

Regular license

Your points1st-choice applicantsPreference draw odds (WGFD)With random draw added (est.)
< 97100.0%100.0%
823100.0%100.0%
< 81979.0%80.5%
<= 72010.0%7.3%

Forecast for 2027: About 8 preference points is where the draw is likely to cut off next year, so applicants at 9 or more are likely to draw on first choice. Point creep has averaged +0.72 points a year (2023 to 2026). Confidence: medium.

Special license (higher fee, separate quota)

Your points1st-choice applicantsPreference draw odds (WGFD)With random draw added (est.)
67100.0%100.0%
< 66100.0%100.0%
56100.0%100.0%
< 59100.0%100.0%
4825.0%40.3%
< 4440.0%20.4%

Forecast for 2027: About 4 preference points is where the draw is likely to cut off next year, so applicants at 5 or more are likely to draw on first choice. Point creep has averaged -0.16 points a year (2023 to 2026). Confidence: medium.

History

Draw yearNR regular cutNR special cutNR random odds (regular)
20235 pts (44% drew at that level)5 pts (77% drew at that level)9.0%
20246 pts (44% drew at that level)< 3 pts (all drew at that level)6.1%
20257 pts (61% drew at that level)4 pts (65% drew at that level)4.5%
2026< 8 pts (79% drew at that level)4 pts (25% drew at that level)7.3%

Forecast method: how we forecast point creep. It is a trend line, not a promise.

Notes from TagCanyon

In 2026, 607 residents listed this hunt first for 400 resident licenses. The nonresident regular points-to-draw index went from 5.6 in 2023 to 7.7 in 2026.

Deadline

Applications open Jan 2 and close Jun 1 on WGFD's current dates table (results in mid-June). Confirm the 2027 dates on WGFD's page. WGFD application dates.

Source: Wyoming Game and Fish Department (WGFD), 2026 Demand Reports (WGFD draw results and odds). Tables, forecasts and text are TagCanyon's own. Not affiliated with WGFD. Retrieved Oct 17, 2026.