Wyoming Pronghorn Area 45 Type 1 Draw Odds

Pronghorn hunt area 045, type 1 (any antelope, as WGFD labels it). Jump to resident odds or nonresident odds.

Fact	Value
Hunt	Pronghorn, Area 45 Type 1: any antelope
2026 resident quota / first-choice applicants	467 / 560
2026 resident simple odds (random draw)	83.4%
2026 nonresident regular quota: preference pool / random pool	52 / 17
2026 nonresident special quota: preference pool / random pool	36 / 11
2026 nonresident regular: preference cut	5 pts (18% drew at that level)
2026 nonresident special: preference cut	2 pts (all drew at that level)

Resident odds (2026 draw)

Wyoming residents draw pronghorn licenses by random draw; preference points do not apply to residents for this species, so every resident applicant has the same chance. Simple odds are quota divided by first-choice applicants (second and third choices only pick up what is left).

Draw year	Resident quota	1st-choice applicants	Simple odds
2023	425	398	100.0%
2024	467	455	100.0%
2025	466	568	82.0%
2026	467	560	83.4%

Resident outlook for 2027

Resident odds moved -5.5 percentage points a year on average from 2023 to 2026. If quota and demand follow that line, 2027 odds land near 78%.

Nonresident odds by preference point (2026 draw)

For nonresidents WGFD sets aside most licenses for a preference-point draw and the rest for a random draw that also takes everyone who missed in the point draw. The first odds column is WGFD's published first-choice success rate at each level; the second adds our simple random-draw estimate (random quota over first-choice random applicants). Rows marked < are party applications whose averaged points fall between two levels.

Regular license

Your points	1st-choice applicants	Preference draw odds (WGFD)	With random draw added (est.)
8	4	100.0%	100.0%
7	6	100.0%	100.0%
< 7	10	100.0%	100.0%
6	16	100.0%	100.0%
< 6	7	100.0%	100.0%
5	51	17.6%	23.6%
< 5	192	0.0%	7.3%

Forecast for 2027: About 6 preference points is where the draw is likely to cut off next year, so applicants at 7 or more are likely to draw on first choice. Point creep has averaged +1.01 points a year (2023 to 2026). Confidence: medium.

Special license (higher fee, separate quota)

Your points	1st-choice applicants	Preference draw odds (WGFD)	With random draw added (est.)
5	3	100.0%	100.0%
4	11	100.0%	100.0%
< 4	9	100.0%	100.0%
3	3	100.0%	100.0%
2	10	100.0%	100.0%
< 2	19	0.0%	57.9%

Forecast for 2027: About 1 preference points is where the draw is likely to cut off next year, so applicants at 2 or more are likely to draw on first choice. Point creep has averaged -0.29 points a year (2023 to 2026). Confidence: medium.

History

Draw year	NR regular cut	NR special cut	NR random odds (regular)
2023	< 3 pts (70% drew at that level)	2 pts (12% drew at that level)	11.9%
2024	< 4 pts (11% drew at that level)	1 pts (75% drew at that level)	8.3%
2025	< 5 pts (57% drew at that level)	2 pts (79% drew at that level)	6.4%
2026	5 pts (18% drew at that level)	2 pts (all drew at that level)	7.3%

Forecast method: how we forecast point creep. It is a trend line, not a promise.

Notes from TagCanyon

In 2026, 560 residents listed this hunt first for 467 resident licenses. The nonresident regular points-to-draw index went from 2.8 in 2023 to 5.8 in 2026.

Deadline

Applications open Jan 2 and close Jun 1 on WGFD's current dates table (results in mid-June). Confirm the 2027 dates on WGFD's page. WGFD application dates.

Source: Wyoming Game and Fish Department (WGFD), 2026 Demand Reports (WGFD draw results and odds). Tables, forecasts and text are TagCanyon's own. Not affiliated with WGFD. Retrieved Oct 17, 2026.