Wyoming Pronghorn Area 38 Type 1 Draw Odds

Pronghorn hunt area 038, type 1 (any antelope, as WGFD labels it). Jump to resident odds or nonresident odds.

Fact	Value
Hunt	Pronghorn, Area 38 Type 1: any antelope
2026 resident quota / first-choice applicants	304 / 605
2026 resident simple odds (random draw)	50.2%
2026 nonresident regular quota: preference pool / random pool	30 / 10
2026 nonresident special quota: preference pool / random pool	21 / 7
2026 nonresident regular: preference cut	< 7 pts (76% drew at that level)
2026 nonresident special: preference cut	< 5 pts (86% drew at that level)

Resident odds (2026 draw)

Wyoming residents draw pronghorn licenses by random draw; preference points do not apply to residents for this species, so every resident applicant has the same chance. Simple odds are quota divided by first-choice applicants (second and third choices only pick up what is left).

Draw year	Resident quota	1st-choice applicants	Simple odds
2023	303	587	51.6%
2024	302	551	54.8%
2025	304	609	49.9%
2026	304	605	50.2%

Resident outlook for 2027

Resident odds moved -0.5 percentage points a year on average from 2023 to 2026. If quota and demand follow that line, 2027 odds land near 50%.

Nonresident odds by preference point (2026 draw)

For nonresidents WGFD sets aside most licenses for a preference-point draw and the rest for a random draw that also takes everyone who missed in the point draw. The first odds column is WGFD's published first-choice success rate at each level; the second adds our simple random-draw estimate (random quota over first-choice random applicants). Rows marked < are party applications whose averaged points fall between two levels.

Regular license

Your points	1st-choice applicants	Preference draw odds (WGFD)	With random draw added (est.)
10	1	100.0%	100.0%
9	3	100.0%	100.0%
8	1	100.0%	100.0%
< 8	3	100.0%	100.0%
7	3	100.0%	100.0%
< 7	25	76.0%	77.0%
<= 6	231	0.0%	4.2%

Forecast for 2027: About 7 preference points is where the draw is likely to cut off next year, so applicants at 8 or more are likely to draw on first choice. Point creep has averaged +0.83 points a year (2023 to 2026). Confidence: medium.

Special license (higher fee, separate quota)

Your points	1st-choice applicants	Preference draw odds (WGFD)	With random draw added (est.)
5	9	100.0%	100.0%
< 5	14	85.7%	90.7%
<= 4	20	0.0%	35.0%

Forecast for 2027: About 5 preference points is where the draw is likely to cut off next year, so applicants at 6 or more are likely to draw on first choice. Point creep has averaged +0.94 points a year (2023 to 2026). Confidence: medium.

History

Draw year	NR regular cut	NR special cut	NR random odds (regular)
2023	4 pts (76% drew at that level)	< 2 pts (67% drew at that level)	4.4%
2024	< 5 pts (69% drew at that level)	< 3 pts (83% drew at that level)	3.6%
2025	5 pts (60% drew at that level)	3 pts (67% drew at that level)	4.7%
2026	< 7 pts (76% drew at that level)	< 5 pts (86% drew at that level)	4.2%

Forecast method: how we forecast point creep. It is a trend line, not a promise.

Notes from TagCanyon

In 2026, 605 residents listed this hunt first for 304 resident licenses. The nonresident regular points-to-draw index went from 4.2 in 2023 to 6.7 in 2026.

Deadline

Applications open Jan 2 and close Jun 1 on WGFD's current dates table (results in mid-June). Confirm the 2027 dates on WGFD's page. WGFD application dates.

Source: Wyoming Game and Fish Department (WGFD), 2026 Demand Reports (WGFD draw results and odds). Tables, forecasts and text are TagCanyon's own. Not affiliated with WGFD. Retrieved Oct 17, 2026.