Wyoming Pronghorn Area 34 Type 1 Draw Odds

Pronghorn hunt area 034, type 1 (any antelope, as WGFD labels it). Jump to resident odds or nonresident odds.

Fact	Value
Hunt	Pronghorn, Area 34 Type 1: any antelope
2026 resident quota / first-choice applicants	445 / 735
2026 resident simple odds (random draw)	60.5%
2026 nonresident regular quota: preference pool / random pool	53 / 17
2026 nonresident special quota: preference pool / random pool	36 / 11
2026 nonresident regular: preference cut	5 pts (86% drew at that level)
2026 nonresident special: preference cut	1 pts (55% drew at that level)

Resident odds (2026 draw)

Wyoming residents draw pronghorn licenses by random draw; preference points do not apply to residents for this species, so every resident applicant has the same chance. Simple odds are quota divided by first-choice applicants (second and third choices only pick up what is left).

Draw year	Resident quota	1st-choice applicants	Simple odds
2023	457	752	60.8%
2024	455	741	61.4%
2025	455	788	57.7%
2026	445	735	60.5%

Resident outlook for 2027

Resident odds moved -0.1 percentage points a year on average from 2023 to 2026. If quota and demand follow that line, 2027 odds land near 60%.

Nonresident odds by preference point (2026 draw)

For nonresidents WGFD sets aside most licenses for a preference-point draw and the rest for a random draw that also takes everyone who missed in the point draw. The first odds column is WGFD's published first-choice success rate at each level; the second adds our simple random-draw estimate (random quota over first-choice random applicants). Rows marked < are party applications whose averaged points fall between two levels.

Regular license

Your points	1st-choice applicants	Preference draw odds (WGFD)	With random draw added (est.)
10	1	100.0%	100.0%
6	6	100.0%	100.0%
< 6	16	100.0%	100.0%
5	35	85.7%	86.8%
< 5	212	0.0%	7.8%

Forecast for 2027: About 5 preference points is where the draw is likely to cut off next year, so applicants at 6 or more are likely to draw on first choice. Point creep has averaged +0.67 points a year (2023 to 2026). Confidence: medium.

Special license (higher fee, separate quota)

Your points	1st-choice applicants	Preference draw odds (WGFD)	With random draw added (est.)
4	1	100.0%	100.0%
3	5	100.0%	100.0%
< 3	8	100.0%	100.0%
2	12	100.0%	100.0%
< 2	4	100.0%	100.0%
1	11	54.5%	100.0%
< 1	7	0.0%	100.0%

Forecast for 2027: About 1 preference points is where the draw is likely to cut off next year, so applicants at 2 or more are likely to draw on first choice. Point creep has averaged +0.09 points a year (2023 to 2026). Confidence: medium.

History

Draw year	NR regular cut	NR special cut	NR random odds (regular)
2023	3 pts (88% drew at that level)	1 pts (83% drew at that level)	10.2%
2024	< 4 pts (68% drew at that level)	every applicant drew	8.5%
2025	4 pts (51% drew at that level)	0 pts (10% drew at that level)	6.8%
2026	5 pts (86% drew at that level)	1 pts (55% drew at that level)	7.8%

Forecast method: how we forecast point creep. It is a trend line, not a promise.

Notes from TagCanyon

In 2026, 735 residents listed this hunt first for 445 resident licenses. The nonresident regular points-to-draw index went from 3.1 in 2023 to 5.1 in 2026.

Deadline

Applications open Jan 2 and close Jun 1 on WGFD's current dates table (results in mid-June). Confirm the 2027 dates on WGFD's page. WGFD application dates.

Source: Wyoming Game and Fish Department (WGFD), 2026 Demand Reports (WGFD draw results and odds). Tables, forecasts and text are TagCanyon's own. Not affiliated with WGFD. Retrieved Oct 17, 2026.