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Wyoming Pronghorn Area 3 Type 1 Draw Odds

Pronghorn hunt area 003, type 1 (any antelope, as WGFD labels it). Jump to resident odds or nonresident odds.

FactValue
HuntPronghorn, Area 3 Type 1: any antelope
2026 resident quota / first-choice applicants180 / 92
2026 resident simple odds (random draw)100.0%
2026 nonresident regular quota: preference pool / random pool60 / 19
2026 nonresident special quota: preference pool / random pool29 / 9
2026 nonresident regular: preference cut2 pts (16% drew at that level)
2026 nonresident special: preference cutevery applicant drew

Resident odds (2026 draw)

Wyoming residents draw pronghorn licenses by random draw; preference points do not apply to residents for this species, so every resident applicant has the same chance. Simple odds are quota divided by first-choice applicants (second and third choices only pick up what is left).

Draw yearResident quota1st-choice applicantsSimple odds
202313954100.0%
202417966100.0%
202517995100.0%
202618092100.0%

Resident outlook for 2027

Resident odds moved +0.0 percentage points a year on average from 2023 to 2026. If quota and demand follow that line, 2027 odds land near 100%.

Nonresident odds by preference point (2026 draw)

For nonresidents WGFD sets aside most licenses for a preference-point draw and the rest for a random draw that also takes everyone who missed in the point draw. The first odds column is WGFD's published first-choice success rate at each level; the second adds our simple random-draw estimate (random quota over first-choice random applicants). Rows marked < are party applications whose averaged points fall between two levels.

Regular license

Your points1st-choice applicantsPreference draw odds (WGFD)With random draw added (est.)
< 72100.0%100.0%
62100.0%100.0%
52100.0%100.0%
45100.0%100.0%
< 45100.0%100.0%
313100.0%100.0%
< 321100.0%100.0%
26216.1%22.4%
< 22060.0%7.5%

Forecast for 2027: About 3 preference points is where the draw is likely to cut off next year, so applicants at 4 or more are likely to draw on first choice. Point creep has averaged +0.64 points a year (2023 to 2026). Confidence: medium.

Special license (higher fee, separate quota)

Your points1st-choice applicantsPreference draw odds (WGFD)With random draw added (est.)
24100.0%—
09100.0%—

Forecast for 2027: The trend points to a hunt that draws without points next year if quota and demand hold.

History

Draw yearNR regular cutNR special cutNR random odds (regular)
20230 pts (8% drew at that level)0 pts (31% drew at that level)16.7%
20240 pts (1% drew at that level)every applicant drew34.5%
20251 pts (29% drew at that level)every applicant drew17.0%
20262 pts (16% drew at that level)every applicant drew7.5%

Forecast method: how we forecast point creep. It is a trend line, not a promise.

Notes from TagCanyon

In 2026, 92 residents listed this hunt first for 180 resident licenses. The nonresident regular points-to-draw index went from 0.9 in 2023 to 2.8 in 2026.

Deadline

Applications open Jan 2 and close Jun 1 on WGFD's current dates table (results in mid-June). Confirm the 2027 dates on WGFD's page. WGFD application dates.

Source: Wyoming Game and Fish Department (WGFD), 2026 Demand Reports (WGFD draw results and odds). Tables, forecasts and text are TagCanyon's own. Not affiliated with WGFD. Retrieved Oct 17, 2026.