Wyoming Pronghorn Area 23 Type 1 Draw Odds

Pronghorn hunt area 023, type 1 (any antelope, as WGFD labels it). Jump to resident odds or nonresident odds.

Fact	Value
Hunt	Pronghorn, Area 23 Type 1: any antelope
2026 resident quota / first-choice applicants	439 / 232
2026 resident simple odds (random draw)	100.0%
2026 nonresident regular quota: preference pool / random pool	124 / 41
2026 nonresident special quota: preference pool / random pool	66 / 21
2026 nonresident regular: preference cut	2 pts (26% drew at that level)
2026 nonresident special: preference cut	every applicant drew

Resident odds (2026 draw)

Wyoming residents draw pronghorn licenses by random draw; preference points do not apply to residents for this species, so every resident applicant has the same chance. Simple odds are quota divided by first-choice applicants (second and third choices only pick up what is left).

Draw year	Resident quota	1st-choice applicants	Simple odds
2023	439	235	100.0%
2024	440	225	100.0%
2025	440	261	100.0%
2026	439	232	100.0%

Resident outlook for 2027

Resident odds moved +0.0 percentage points a year on average from 2023 to 2026. If quota and demand follow that line, 2027 odds land near 100%.

Nonresident odds by preference point (2026 draw)

For nonresidents WGFD sets aside most licenses for a preference-point draw and the rest for a random draw that also takes everyone who missed in the point draw. The first odds column is WGFD's published first-choice success rate at each level; the second adds our simple random-draw estimate (random quota over first-choice random applicants). Rows marked < are party applications whose averaged points fall between two levels.

Regular license

Your points	1st-choice applicants	Preference draw odds (WGFD)	With random draw added (est.)
7	2	100.0%	100.0%
< 7	6	100.0%	100.0%
6	1	100.0%	100.0%
5	2	100.0%	100.0%
< 5	7	100.0%	100.0%
4	16	100.0%	100.0%
< 4	13	100.0%	100.0%
3	35	100.0%	100.0%
< 3	30	100.0%	100.0%
2	47	25.5%	36.5%
< 2	243	0.0%	14.7%

Forecast for 2027: About 3 preference points is where the draw is likely to cut off next year, so applicants at 4 or more are likely to draw on first choice. Point creep has averaged +0.36 points a year (2023 to 2026). Confidence: medium.

Special license (higher fee, separate quota)

Your points	1st-choice applicants	Preference draw odds (WGFD)	With random draw added (est.)
2	3	100.0%	—
< 2	3	100.0%	—
1	4	100.0%	—
0	21	100.0%	—

Forecast for 2027: The trend points to a hunt that draws without points next year if quota and demand hold.

History

Draw year	NR regular cut	NR special cut	NR random odds (regular)
2023	1 pts (35% drew at that level)	every applicant drew	11.9%
2024	< 2 pts (85% drew at that level)	every applicant drew	14.7%
2025	2 pts (55% drew at that level)	every applicant drew	9.9%
2026	2 pts (26% drew at that level)	every applicant drew	14.7%

Forecast method: how we forecast point creep. It is a trend line, not a promise.

Notes from TagCanyon

In 2026, 232 residents listed this hunt first for 439 resident licenses. The nonresident regular points-to-draw index went from 1.6 in 2023 to 2.7 in 2026.

Deadline

Applications open Jan 2 and close Jun 1 on WGFD's current dates table (results in mid-June). Confirm the 2027 dates on WGFD's page. WGFD application dates.

Source: Wyoming Game and Fish Department (WGFD), 2026 Demand Reports (WGFD draw results and odds). Tables, forecasts and text are TagCanyon's own. Not affiliated with WGFD. Retrieved Oct 17, 2026.