TagCanyonDeadline emails

Wyoming Pronghorn Area 17 Type 1 Draw Odds

Pronghorn hunt area 017, type 1 (any antelope, as WGFD labels it). Jump to resident odds or nonresident odds.

FactValue
HuntPronghorn, Area 17 Type 1: any antelope
2026 resident quota / first-choice applicants400 / 367
2026 resident simple odds (random draw)100.0%
2026 nonresident regular quota: preference pool / random pool44 / 14
2026 nonresident special quota: preference pool / random pool30 / 9
2026 nonresident regular: preference cut< 5 pts (34% drew at that level)
2026 nonresident special: preference cut2 pts (94% drew at that level)

Resident odds (2026 draw)

Wyoming residents draw pronghorn licenses by random draw; preference points do not apply to residents for this species, so every resident applicant has the same chance. Simple odds are quota divided by first-choice applicants (second and third choices only pick up what is left).

Draw yearResident quota1st-choice applicantsSimple odds
2023400224100.0%
2024399322100.0%
2025398329100.0%
2026400367100.0%

Resident outlook for 2027

Resident odds moved +0.0 percentage points a year on average from 2023 to 2026. If quota and demand follow that line, 2027 odds land near 100%.

Nonresident odds by preference point (2026 draw)

For nonresidents WGFD sets aside most licenses for a preference-point draw and the rest for a random draw that also takes everyone who missed in the point draw. The first odds column is WGFD's published first-choice success rate at each level; the second adds our simple random-draw estimate (random quota over first-choice random applicants). Rows marked < are party applications whose averaged points fall between two levels.

Regular license

Your points1st-choice applicantsPreference draw odds (WGFD)With random draw added (est.)
86100.0%100.0%
71100.0%100.0%
< 74100.0%100.0%
65100.0%100.0%
< 62100.0%100.0%
516100.0%100.0%
< 52934.5%37.0%
<= 43500.0%3.8%

Forecast for 2027: About 6 preference points is where the draw is likely to cut off next year, so applicants at 7 or more are likely to draw on first choice. Point creep has averaged +1.01 points a year (2023 to 2026). Confidence: medium.

Special license (higher fee, separate quota)

Your points1st-choice applicantsPreference draw odds (WGFD)With random draw added (est.)
35100.0%100.0%
< 310100.0%100.0%
21693.8%95.6%
< 2290.0%30.0%

Forecast for 2027: About 2 preference points is where the draw is likely to cut off next year, so applicants at 3 or more are likely to draw on first choice. Point creep has averaged +0.28 points a year (2023 to 2026). Confidence: medium.

History

Draw yearNR regular cutNR special cutNR random odds (regular)
20232 pts (86% drew at that level)1 pts (77% drew at that level)8.1%
20243 pts (55% drew at that level)1 pts (64% drew at that level)3.0%
20254 pts (86% drew at that level)< 2 pts (33% drew at that level)3.6%
2026< 5 pts (34% drew at that level)2 pts (94% drew at that level)3.8%

Forecast method: how we forecast point creep. It is a trend line, not a promise.

Notes from TagCanyon

In 2026, 367 residents listed this hunt first for 400 resident licenses. The nonresident regular points-to-draw index went from 2.1 in 2023 to 5.2 in 2026.

Deadline

Applications open Jan 2 and close Jun 1 on WGFD's current dates table (results in mid-June). Confirm the 2027 dates on WGFD's page. WGFD application dates.

Source: Wyoming Game and Fish Department (WGFD), 2026 Demand Reports (WGFD draw results and odds). Tables, forecasts and text are TagCanyon's own. Not affiliated with WGFD. Retrieved Oct 17, 2026.