Wyoming Pronghorn Area 16 Type 1 Draw Odds

Pronghorn hunt area 016, type 1 (any antelope, as WGFD labels it). Jump to resident odds or nonresident odds.

Fact	Value
Hunt	Pronghorn, Area 16 Type 1: any antelope
2026 resident quota / first-choice applicants	158 / 113
2026 resident simple odds (random draw)	100.0%
2026 nonresident regular quota: preference pool / random pool	18 / 5
2026 nonresident special quota: preference pool / random pool	12 / 4
2026 nonresident regular: preference cut	6 pts (58% drew at that level)
2026 nonresident special: preference cut	2 pts (17% drew at that level)

Resident odds (2026 draw)

Wyoming residents draw pronghorn licenses by random draw; preference points do not apply to residents for this species, so every resident applicant has the same chance. Simple odds are quota divided by first-choice applicants (second and third choices only pick up what is left).

Draw year	Resident quota	1st-choice applicants	Simple odds
2023	199	91	100.0%
2024	158	89	100.0%
2025	158	109	100.0%
2026	158	113	100.0%

Resident outlook for 2027

Resident odds moved +0.0 percentage points a year on average from 2023 to 2026. If quota and demand follow that line, 2027 odds land near 100%.

Nonresident odds by preference point (2026 draw)

For nonresidents WGFD sets aside most licenses for a preference-point draw and the rest for a random draw that also takes everyone who missed in the point draw. The first odds column is WGFD's published first-choice success rate at each level; the second adds our simple random-draw estimate (random quota over first-choice random applicants). Rows marked < are party applications whose averaged points fall between two levels.

Regular license

Your points	1st-choice applicants	Preference draw odds (WGFD)	With random draw added (est.)
10	1	100.0%	100.0%
7	8	100.0%	100.0%
< 7	2	100.0%	100.0%
6	12	58.3%	59.3%
< 6	204	0.0%	2.4%

Forecast for 2027: About 7 preference points is where the draw is likely to cut off next year, so applicants at 8 or more are likely to draw on first choice. Point creep has averaged +1.19 points a year (2023 to 2026). Confidence: medium.

Special license (higher fee, separate quota)

Your points	1st-choice applicants	Preference draw odds (WGFD)	With random draw added (est.)
4	3	100.0%	100.0%
< 4	2	100.0%	100.0%
3	2	100.0%	100.0%
< 3	4	100.0%	100.0%
2	6	16.7%	38.9%
< 2	10	0.0%	26.7%

Forecast for 2027: About 3 preference points is where the draw is likely to cut off next year, so applicants at 4 or more are likely to draw on first choice. Point creep has averaged +0.71 points a year (2023 to 2026). Confidence: medium.

History

Draw year	NR regular cut	NR special cut	NR random odds (regular)
2023	2 pts (16% drew at that level)	< 1 pts (80% drew at that level)	11.0%
2024	3 pts (16% drew at that level)	1 pts (88% drew at that level)	4.3%
2025	4 pts (9% drew at that level)	1 pts (67% drew at that level)	3.6%
2026	6 pts (58% drew at that level)	2 pts (17% drew at that level)	2.4%

Forecast method: how we forecast point creep. It is a trend line, not a promise.

Notes from TagCanyon

In 2026, 113 residents listed this hunt first for 158 resident licenses. The nonresident regular points-to-draw index went from 2.8 in 2023 to 6.4 in 2026.

Deadline

Applications open Jan 2 and close Jun 1 on WGFD's current dates table (results in mid-June). Confirm the 2027 dates on WGFD's page. WGFD application dates.

Source: Wyoming Game and Fish Department (WGFD), 2026 Demand Reports (WGFD draw results and odds). Tables, forecasts and text are TagCanyon's own. Not affiliated with WGFD. Retrieved Oct 17, 2026.