Wyoming Pronghorn Area 115 Type 1 Draw Odds

Pronghorn hunt area 115, type 1 (any antelope, as WGFD labels it). Jump to resident odds or nonresident odds.

Fact	Value
Hunt	Pronghorn, Area 115 Type 1: any antelope
2026 resident quota / first-choice applicants	106 / 332
2026 resident simple odds (random draw)	31.9%
2026 nonresident regular quota: preference pool / random pool	12 / 3
2026 nonresident special quota: preference pool / random pool	8 / 2
2026 nonresident regular: preference cut	< 9 pts (50% drew at that level)
2026 nonresident special: preference cut	1 pts (all drew at that level)

Resident odds (2026 draw)

Wyoming residents draw pronghorn licenses by random draw; preference points do not apply to residents for this species, so every resident applicant has the same chance. Simple odds are quota divided by first-choice applicants (second and third choices only pick up what is left).

Draw year	Resident quota	1st-choice applicants	Simple odds
2023	101	311	32.5%
2024	106	332	31.9%
2025	110	333	33.0%
2026	106	332	31.9%

Resident outlook for 2027

Resident odds moved -0.2 percentage points a year on average from 2023 to 2026. If quota and demand follow that line, 2027 odds land near 32%.

Nonresident odds by preference point (2026 draw)

For nonresidents WGFD sets aside most licenses for a preference-point draw and the rest for a random draw that also takes everyone who missed in the point draw. The first odds column is WGFD's published first-choice success rate at each level; the second adds our simple random-draw estimate (random quota over first-choice random applicants). Rows marked < are party applications whose averaged points fall between two levels.

Regular license

Your points	1st-choice applicants	Preference draw odds (WGFD)	With random draw added (est.)
10	1	100.0%	100.0%
< 10	2	100.0%	100.0%
9	6	100.0%	100.0%
< 9	6	50.0%	50.8%
<= 8	179	0.0%	1.7%

Forecast for 2027: About 9 preference points is where the draw is likely to cut off next year, so applicants at 10 or more are likely to draw on first choice. Point creep has averaged +0.50 points a year (2023 to 2026). Confidence: medium.

Special license (higher fee, separate quota)

Your points	1st-choice applicants	Preference draw odds (WGFD)	With random draw added (est.)
6	1	100.0%	100.0%
4	2	100.0%	100.0%
3	1	100.0%	100.0%
2	1	100.0%	100.0%
1	3	100.0%	100.0%
< 1	5	0.0%	40.0%

Forecast for 2027: The trend points to a hunt that draws without points next year if quota and demand hold.

History

Draw year	NR regular cut	NR special cut	NR random odds (regular)
2023	< 8 pts (all drew at that level)	< 6 pts (75% drew at that level)	4.2%
2024	8 pts (33% drew at that level)	4 pts (50% drew at that level)	2.9%
2025	7 pts (all drew at that level)	< 7 pts (60% drew at that level)	4.5%
2026	< 9 pts (50% drew at that level)	1 pts (all drew at that level)	1.7%

Forecast method: how we forecast point creep. It is a trend line, not a promise.

Notes from TagCanyon

In 2026, 332 residents listed this hunt first for 106 resident licenses. The nonresident regular points-to-draw index went from 7.5 in 2023 to 9.0 in 2026.

Deadline

Applications open Jan 2 and close Jun 1 on WGFD's current dates table (results in mid-June). Confirm the 2027 dates on WGFD's page. WGFD application dates.

Source: Wyoming Game and Fish Department (WGFD), 2026 Demand Reports (WGFD draw results and odds). Tables, forecasts and text are TagCanyon's own. Not affiliated with WGFD. Retrieved Oct 17, 2026.