Wyoming Deer Area 84 Type 1 Draw Odds

Deer hunt area 084, type 1 (antlered mule deer …, as WGFD labels it). Jump to resident odds or nonresident odds.

Fact	Value
Hunt	Deer, Area 84 Type 1: antlered mule deer …
2026 resident quota / first-choice applicants	12 / 257
2026 resident simple odds (random draw)	4.7%
2026 nonresident regular quota: preference pool / random pool	0 / 0
2026 nonresident special quota: preference pool / random pool	1 / 0
2026 nonresident regular: preference cut	no preference quota
2026 nonresident special: preference cut	9 pts (all drew at that level)

Resident odds (2026 draw)

Wyoming residents draw deer licenses by random draw; preference points do not apply to residents for this species, so every resident applicant has the same chance. Simple odds are quota divided by first-choice applicants (second and third choices only pick up what is left).

Draw year	Resident quota	1st-choice applicants	Simple odds
2023	11	149	7.4%
2024	13	156	8.3%
2025	11	199	5.5%
2026	12	257	4.7%

Resident outlook for 2027

Resident odds moved -0.9 percentage points a year on average from 2023 to 2026. If quota and demand follow that line, 2027 odds land near 4%.

Nonresident odds by preference point (2026 draw)

For nonresidents WGFD sets aside most licenses for a preference-point draw and the rest for a random draw that also takes everyone who missed in the point draw. The first odds column is WGFD's published first-choice success rate at each level; the second adds our simple random-draw estimate (random quota over first-choice random applicants). Rows marked < are party applications whose averaged points fall between two levels.

Regular license

Your points	1st-choice applicants	Preference draw odds (WGFD)	With random draw added (est.)
14	1	0.0%	0.0%
< 14	9	0.0%	0.0%

Forecast for 2027: Not enough years of data for a forecast.

Special license (higher fee, separate quota)

Your points	1st-choice applicants	Preference draw odds (WGFD)	With random draw added (est.)
9	1	100.0%	100.0%
< 9	11	0.0%	0.0%

Forecast for 2027: About 13 preference points is where the draw is likely to cut off next year, so applicants at 14 or more are likely to draw on first choice. Point creep has averaged +4.50 points a year (2023 to 2026). Confidence: low.

History

Draw year	NR regular cut	NR special cut	NR random odds (regular)
2023	no preference quota	every applicant drew	0.0%
2024	no preference quota	no preference quota	0.0%
2025	no preference quota	< 7 pts (25% drew at that level)	0.0%
2026	no preference quota	9 pts (all drew at that level)	0.0%

Forecast method: how we forecast point creep. It is a trend line, not a promise.

Notes from TagCanyon

In 2026, 257 residents listed this hunt first for 12 resident licenses.

Deadline

Applications open Jan 2 and close Jun 1 on WGFD's current dates table (results in mid-June). Confirm the 2027 dates on WGFD's page. WGFD application dates.

Source: Wyoming Game and Fish Department (WGFD), 2026 Demand Reports (WGFD draw results and odds). Tables, forecasts and text are TagCanyon's own. Not affiliated with WGFD. Retrieved Oct 17, 2026.