Wyoming Deer Area 79 Type 1 Draw Odds

Deer hunt area 079, type 1 (antlered mule deer …, as WGFD labels it). Jump to resident odds or nonresident odds.

Fact	Value
Hunt	Deer, Area 79 Type 1: antlered mule deer …
2026 resident quota / first-choice applicants	194 / 395
2026 resident simple odds (random draw)	49.1%
2026 nonresident regular quota: preference pool / random pool	19 / 6
2026 nonresident special quota: preference pool / random pool	14 / 4
2026 nonresident regular: preference cut	6 pts (89% drew at that level)
2026 nonresident special: preference cut	every applicant drew

Resident odds (2026 draw)

Wyoming residents draw deer licenses by random draw; preference points do not apply to residents for this species, so every resident applicant has the same chance. Simple odds are quota divided by first-choice applicants (second and third choices only pick up what is left).

Draw year	Resident quota	1st-choice applicants	Simple odds
2023	244	330	73.9%
2024	195	340	57.4%
2025	193	382	50.5%
2026	194	395	49.1%

Resident outlook for 2027

Resident odds moved -8.3 percentage points a year on average from 2023 to 2026. If quota and demand follow that line, 2027 odds land near 41%.

Nonresident odds by preference point (2026 draw)

For nonresidents WGFD sets aside most licenses for a preference-point draw and the rest for a random draw that also takes everyone who missed in the point draw. The first odds column is WGFD's published first-choice success rate at each level; the second adds our simple random-draw estimate (random quota over first-choice random applicants). Rows marked < are party applications whose averaged points fall between two levels.

Regular license

Your points	1st-choice applicants	Preference draw odds (WGFD)	With random draw added (est.)
10	1	100.0%	100.0%
8	1	100.0%	100.0%
7	1	100.0%	100.0%
< 7	8	100.0%	100.0%
6	9	88.9%	89.6%
< 6	89	0.0%	6.7%

Forecast for 2027: About 7 preference points is where the draw is likely to cut off next year, so applicants at 8 or more are likely to draw on first choice. Point creep has averaged +1.15 points a year (2023 to 2026). Confidence: medium.

Special license (higher fee, separate quota)

Your points	1st-choice applicants	Preference draw odds (WGFD)	With random draw added (est.)
4	1	100.0%	—
3	3	100.0%	—
< 3	2	100.0%	—
2	1	100.0%	—
0	7	100.0%	—

Forecast for 2027: The trend points to a hunt that draws without points next year if quota and demand hold.

History

Draw year	NR regular cut	NR special cut	NR random odds (regular)
2023	2 pts (33% drew at that level)	1 pts (all drew at that level)	22.2%
2024	3 pts (29% drew at that level)	0 pts (67% drew at that level)	13.3%
2025	4 pts (13% drew at that level)	every applicant drew	9.5%
2026	6 pts (89% drew at that level)	every applicant drew	6.7%

Forecast method: how we forecast point creep. It is a trend line, not a promise.

Notes from TagCanyon

In 2026, 395 residents listed this hunt first for 194 resident licenses. The nonresident regular points-to-draw index went from 2.7 in 2023 to 6.1 in 2026.

Deadline

Applications open Jan 2 and close Jun 1 on WGFD's current dates table (results in mid-June). Confirm the 2027 dates on WGFD's page. WGFD application dates.

Source: Wyoming Game and Fish Department (WGFD), 2026 Demand Reports (WGFD draw results and odds). Tables, forecasts and text are TagCanyon's own. Not affiliated with WGFD. Retrieved Oct 17, 2026.