Wyoming Deer Area 22 Type 3 Draw Odds
Deer hunt area 022, type 3 (any white-tailed …, as WGFD labels it). Jump to resident odds or nonresident odds.
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| Fact | Value |
|---|---|
| Hunt | Deer, Area 22 Type 3: any white-tailed … |
| 2026 resident quota / first-choice applicants | 55 / 92 |
| 2026 resident simple odds (random draw) | 59.8% |
| 2026 nonresident regular quota: preference pool / random pool | 10 / 3 |
| 2026 nonresident special quota: preference pool / random pool | 5 / 1 |
| 2026 nonresident regular: preference cut | 0 pts (56% drew at that level) |
| 2026 nonresident special: preference cut | every applicant drew |
Resident odds (2026 draw)
Wyoming residents draw deer licenses by random draw; preference points do not apply to residents for this species, so every resident applicant has the same chance. Simple odds are quota divided by first-choice applicants (second and third choices only pick up what is left).
| Draw year | Resident quota | 1st-choice applicants | Simple odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 73 | 61 | 100.0% |
| 2024 | 53 | 64 | 82.8% |
| 2025 | 56 | 85 | 65.9% |
| 2026 | 55 | 92 | 59.8% |
Resident outlook for 2027
Resident odds moved -13.4 percentage points a year on average from 2023 to 2026. If quota and demand follow that line, 2027 odds land near 46%.
Nonresident odds by preference point (2026 draw)
For nonresidents WGFD sets aside most licenses for a preference-point draw and the rest for a random draw that also takes everyone who missed in the point draw. The first odds column is WGFD's published first-choice success rate at each level; the second adds our simple random-draw estimate (random quota over first-choice random applicants). Rows marked < are party applications whose averaged points fall between two levels.
Regular license
| Your points | 1st-choice applicants | Preference draw odds (WGFD) | With random draw added (est.) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 100.0% | 100.0% |
| 0 | 9 | 55.6% | 88.9% |
Forecast for 2027: About 0 preference points is where the draw is likely to cut off next year, so applicants at 1 or more are likely to draw on first choice. Point creep has averaged +0.00 points a year (2023 to 2026). Confidence: medium.
Special license (higher fee, separate quota)
| Your points | 1st-choice applicants | Preference draw odds (WGFD) | With random draw added (est.) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 100.0% | — |
Forecast for 2027: The trend points to a hunt that draws without points next year if quota and demand hold.
History
| Draw year | NR regular cut | NR special cut | NR random odds (regular) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 0 pts (56% drew at that level) | every applicant drew | 75.0% |
| 2024 | 0 pts (29% drew at that level) | every applicant drew | 60.0% |
| 2025 | every applicant drew | no applicants | — |
| 2026 | 0 pts (56% drew at that level) | every applicant drew | 75.0% |
Forecast method: how we forecast point creep. It is a trend line, not a promise.
Notes from TagCanyon
In 2026, 92 residents listed this hunt first for 55 resident licenses. The nonresident regular points-to-draw index went from 0.4 in 2023 to 0.4 in 2026.
Deadline
Applications open Jan 2 and close Jun 1 on WGFD's current dates table (results in mid-June). Confirm the 2027 dates on WGFD's page. WGFD application dates.
Source: Wyoming Game and Fish Department (WGFD), 2026 Demand Reports (WGFD draw results and odds). Tables, forecasts and text are TagCanyon's own. Not affiliated with WGFD. Retrieved Oct 17, 2026.
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