Lake Somerville SP - Nails Creek Youth Deer Odds
Lake Somerville SP - Nails Creek Unit is a Texas youth only gun deer - either sex drawn hunt in the 2026-27 TPWD catalog. Applications close Sep 1, 2026.
Get draw deadline reminders
An email before every Texas and Western draw application closes.
Free. A few emails a year, timed to deadlines and results. Unsubscribe anytime.
| Fact | Value |
|---|---|
| Application deadline | Sep 1, 2026 |
| Permits available this season | 12 |
| Applicants last year | 187 |
| Permits drawn last year | 12 |
| Simple draw odds | 6.42% (1 in 16) |
| Harvest success last year | 63% |
| Hunt dates | Dec 5, 2026 to Dec 6, 2026; Jan 9, 2027 to Jan 10, 2027 |
| Group size per application | 2 to 4 |
| Application fee (adult) | $0.00 |
| Permit fee (adult / youth) | $0.00 / $0.00 |
| Means limited to | Centerfire Rifles |
| Means not allowed | none listed |
| Baiting | allowed |
Modeled odds by loyalty points
TPWD cubes loyalty points in this category, so applicants with more points hold far more entries. TPWD does not publish how many applicants hold each point level, so the numbers below use an assumed point mix. Treat them as a rough model, not a forecast.
| Your points | Entries (points cubed) | Modeled chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 0.16% |
| 2 | 8 | 1.27% |
| 3 | 27 | 4.22% |
| 5 | 125 | 18.10% |
| 8 | 512 | 55.85% |
| 10 | 1,000 | 79.75% |
| 15 | 3,375 | 99.54% |
| 20 | 8,000 | 100.00% |
Notes from TagCanyon
[Original write-up placeholder: access, terrain, what last year's numbers mean. Written by us, reviewed by Tom. No TPWD text.]
Check the current TPWD catalog before applying.
Source: Texas Parks and Wildlife Department (TPWD), Drawn Hunts catalog. TagCanyon is not affiliated with or endorsed by TPWD. TPWD Public Hunt Drawing System. Catalog season 2026-27; our copy retrieved Oct 17, 2026.
Get draw deadline reminders
Texas drawn hunt deadlines (Jul to Nov) and Western draw windows (Jan to Jun), plus results when they post. Free. Unsubscribe anytime.