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700-00 Elk B License Draw Odds, Montana

Elk b license, district 700-00, from FWP's 2023 to 2026 drawing statistics. Jump to resident odds or nonresident odds.

FactValue
DrawingElk b license, district 700-00
2026 total quota300
2026 nonresident cap (FWP's NR quota column)30
2026 landowner preference cap: resident / nonresident45 / 30
2026 first-choice applicants: resident / nonresident1,367 / 295
2026 drawn on first choice: resident / nonresident259 / 28
2026 first-choice odds: resident / nonresident18.9% / 9.5%
2026 total successful (all choices and pools)300

Resident odds by bonus point (2026 drawing)

Share of first-choice resident applicants at each bonus-point level who drew, from FWP's 2026 bonus point report. Each applicant gets one chance plus their points squared, so the draw favors high point holders without a hard cutoff. How Montana bonus points work.

Bonus pointsChances in drawing1st-choice applicantsDrawnOdds at this level
01354215.9%
126139215.0%
252828429.8%
310884146.6%
417191368.4%
5268787.5%
637100.0%
7502150.0%

Resident outlook for 2027

If first-choice demand keeps its 2023 to 2026 trend (+44 applicants a year), about 1,411 residents would apply in 2027; with the same number of first-choice licenses, overall first-choice odds would be about 18%. Average bonus points among first-choice applicants are trending to about 1.2 (+0.05 a year), a measure of point creep in a weighted draw. Confidence: medium.

Landowner preference (residents, 2026): 11 first-choice applicants, 11 drawn.

Nonresident odds by bonus point (2026 drawing)

Share of first-choice nonresident applicants at each bonus-point level who drew, from FWP's 2026 bonus point report. Each applicant gets one chance plus their points squared, so the draw favors high point holders without a hard cutoff. How Montana bonus points work.

Bonus pointsChances in drawing1st-choice applicantsDrawnOdds at this level
015100.0%
1210954.6%
2574912.2%
31036616.7%
41720840.0%
526300.0%
637200.0%

Nonresident outlook for 2027

If first-choice demand keeps its 2023 to 2026 trend (+18 applicants a year), about 313 nonresidents would apply in 2027; with the same number of first-choice licenses, overall first-choice odds would be about 9%. Average bonus points among first-choice applicants are trending to about 1.7 (+0.14 a year), a measure of point creep in a weighted draw. Confidence: medium.

Landowner preference (nonresidents, 2026): 2 first-choice applicants, 2 drawn.

First-choice odds by year

First-choice draws over first-choice applicants in the regular drawing (landowner preference excluded).

Draw yearQuotaRes applicantsRes oddsNR applicantsNR odds
20237001,23550.4%24028.3%
20247001,25849.7%27023.0%
20257001,27748.5%24528.6%
20263001,36718.9%2959.5%

Outlook method: see the top of the Montana points explainer and our forecast method. It is a trend line, not a promise.

Notes from TagCanyon

Deadline

Elk B, deer B, antelope and antelope B licenses: FWP's 2026 window ran Mar 1 to Jun 1, 2026 (11:45 p.m. Mountain). FWP has not posted 2027 dates yet; the June 1 deadline has held in recent years. FWP application and drawing dates.

Source: Montana Fish, Wildlife & Parks (FWP), 2026 Drawing Statistics reports (MyFWP drawing statistics, FWP application and drawing dates). Tables, outlooks and text are TagCanyon's own; FWP does not warrant or endorse them. Not affiliated with FWP. Retrieved Oct 17, 2026.