698-00 Elk B License Draw Odds, Montana

Elk b license, district 698-00, from FWP's 2023 to 2026 drawing statistics. Jump to resident odds or nonresident odds.

Fact	Value
Drawing	Elk b license, district 698-00
2026 total quota	100
2026 nonresident cap (FWP's NR quota column)	10
2026 landowner preference cap: resident / nonresident	15 / 10
2026 first-choice applicants: resident / nonresident	371 / 28
2026 drawn on first choice: resident / nonresident	88 / 8
2026 first-choice odds: resident / nonresident	23.7% / 28.6%
2026 total successful (all choices and pools)	100

Resident odds by bonus point (2026 drawing)

Share of first-choice resident applicants at each bonus-point level who drew, from FWP's 2026 bonus point report. Each applicant gets one chance plus their points squared, so the draw favors high point holders without a hard cutoff. How Montana bonus points work.

Bonus points	Chances in drawing	1st-choice applicants	Drawn	Odds at this level
0	1	82	9	11.0%
1	2	98	12	12.2%
2	5	81	19	23.5%
3	10	80	35	43.8%
4	17	26	12	46.2%
5	26	3	1	33.3%
6	37	1	0	0.0%

Resident outlook for 2027

If first-choice demand keeps its 2023 to 2026 trend (-28 applicants a year), about 343 residents would apply in 2027; with the same number of first-choice licenses, overall first-choice odds would be about 26%. Average bonus points among first-choice applicants are trending to about 1.9 (+0.18 a year), a measure of point creep in a weighted draw. Confidence: medium.

Landowner preference (residents, 2026): 4 first-choice applicants, 4 drawn.

Nonresident odds by bonus point (2026 drawing)

Share of first-choice nonresident applicants at each bonus-point level who drew, from FWP's 2026 bonus point report. Each applicant gets one chance plus their points squared, so the draw favors high point holders without a hard cutoff. How Montana bonus points work.

Bonus points	Chances in drawing	1st-choice applicants	Drawn	Odds at this level
0	1	3	0	0.0%
1	2	8	3	37.5%
2	5	7	1	14.3%
3	10	6	2	33.3%
4	17	2	0	0.0%
5	26	2	2	100.0%

Nonresident outlook for 2027

If first-choice demand keeps its 2023 to 2026 trend (-15 applicants a year), about 13 nonresidents would apply in 2027; with the same number of first-choice licenses, overall first-choice odds would be about 60%. Average bonus points among first-choice applicants are trending to about 2.4 (+0.29 a year), a measure of point creep in a weighted draw. Confidence: low.

First-choice odds by year

First-choice draws over first-choice applicants in the regular drawing (landowner preference excluded).

Draw year	Quota	Res applicants	Res odds	NR applicants	NR odds
2023	300	456	58.3%	72	40.3%
2024	100	481	18.1%	52	17.3%
2025	100	432	20.6%	29	24.1%
2026	100	371	23.7%	28	28.6%

Outlook method: see the top of the Montana points explainer and our forecast method. It is a trend line, not a promise.

Notes from TagCanyon

In 2026, 371 residents listed this drawing first for a quota of 100, about 3.7 resident applicants per license.
Residents: at 0 bonus points 11% drew; at 4 points (the highest level with at least 5 applicants) 46% drew.
Nonresidents: at 1 bonus points 38% drew; at 3 points (the highest level with at least 5 applicants) 33% drew.

Deadline

Elk B, deer B, antelope and antelope B licenses: FWP's 2026 window ran Mar 1 to Jun 1, 2026 (11:45 p.m. Mountain). FWP has not posted 2027 dates yet; the June 1 deadline has held in recent years. FWP application and drawing dates.

Source: Montana Fish, Wildlife & Parks (FWP), 2026 Drawing Statistics reports (MyFWP drawing statistics, FWP application and drawing dates). Tables, outlooks and text are TagCanyon's own; FWP does not warrant or endorse them. Not affiliated with FWP. Retrieved Oct 17, 2026.