622-00 Elk B License Draw Odds, Montana

Elk b license, district 622-00, from FWP's 2023 to 2026 drawing statistics. Jump to resident odds or nonresident odds.

Fact	Value
Drawing	Elk b license, district 622-00
2026 total quota	50
2026 nonresident cap (FWP's NR quota column)	5
2026 landowner preference cap: resident / nonresident	8 / 5
2026 first-choice applicants: resident / nonresident	622 / 45
2026 drawn on first choice: resident / nonresident	44 / 3
2026 first-choice odds: resident / nonresident	7.1% / 6.7%
2026 total successful (all choices and pools)	50

Resident odds by bonus point (2026 drawing)

Share of first-choice resident applicants at each bonus-point level who drew, from FWP's 2026 bonus point report. Each applicant gets one chance plus their points squared, so the draw favors high point holders without a hard cutoff. How Montana bonus points work.

Bonus points	Chances in drawing	1st-choice applicants	Drawn	Odds at this level
0	1	118	0	0.0%
1	2	129	6	4.7%
2	5	86	3	3.5%
3	10	150	12	8.0%
4	17	86	12	14.0%
5	26	36	11	30.6%
6	37	12	0	0.0%
7	50	5	0	0.0%

Resident outlook for 2027

If first-choice demand keeps its 2023 to 2026 trend (-86 applicants a year), about 536 residents would apply in 2027; with the same number of first-choice licenses, overall first-choice odds would be about 8%. Average bonus points among first-choice applicants are trending to about 2.5 (+0.25 a year), a measure of point creep in a weighted draw. Confidence: medium.

Landowner preference (residents, 2026): 3 first-choice applicants, 3 drawn.

Nonresident odds by bonus point (2026 drawing)

Share of first-choice nonresident applicants at each bonus-point level who drew, from FWP's 2026 bonus point report. Each applicant gets one chance plus their points squared, so the draw favors high point holders without a hard cutoff. How Montana bonus points work.

Bonus points	Chances in drawing	1st-choice applicants	Drawn	Odds at this level
0	1	13	0	0.0%
1	2	7	0	0.0%
2	5	5	1	20.0%
3	10	8	0	0.0%
4	17	6	1	16.7%
5	26	2	0	0.0%
6	37	2	0	0.0%
7	50	2	1	50.0%

Nonresident outlook for 2027

If first-choice demand keeps its 2023 to 2026 trend (-23 applicants a year), about 22 nonresidents would apply in 2027; with the same number of first-choice licenses, overall first-choice odds would be about 13%. Average bonus points among first-choice applicants are trending to about 2.5 (+0.21 a year), a measure of point creep in a weighted draw. Confidence: low.

First-choice odds by year

First-choice draws over first-choice applicants in the regular drawing (landowner preference excluded).

Draw year	Quota	Res applicants	Res odds	NR applicants	NR odds
2023	300	880	29.9%	113	26.5%
2024	50	895	4.6%	121	1.7%
2025	50	696	6.0%	60	6.7%
2026	50	622	7.1%	45	6.7%

Outlook method: see the top of the Montana points explainer and our forecast method. It is a trend line, not a promise.

Notes from TagCanyon

In 2026, 622 residents listed this drawing first for a quota of 50, about 12.4 resident applicants per license.
Residents: at 0 bonus points 0% drew; at 7 points (the highest level with at least 5 applicants) 0% drew.
Nonresidents: at 0 bonus points 0% drew; at 4 points (the highest level with at least 5 applicants) 17% drew.

Deadline

Elk B, deer B, antelope and antelope B licenses: FWP's 2026 window ran Mar 1 to Jun 1, 2026 (11:45 p.m. Mountain). FWP has not posted 2027 dates yet; the June 1 deadline has held in recent years. FWP application and drawing dates.

Source: Montana Fish, Wildlife & Parks (FWP), 2026 Drawing Statistics reports (MyFWP drawing statistics, FWP application and drawing dates). Tables, outlooks and text are TagCanyon's own; FWP does not warrant or endorse them. Not affiliated with FWP. Retrieved Oct 17, 2026.