396-00 Elk B License Draw Odds, Montana

Elk b license, district 396-00, from FWP's 2023 to 2026 drawing statistics. Jump to resident odds or nonresident odds.

Fact	Value
Drawing	Elk b license, district 396-00
2026 total quota	600
2026 nonresident cap (FWP's NR quota column)	60
2026 landowner preference cap: resident / nonresident	90 / 60
2026 first-choice applicants: resident / nonresident	1,111 / 41
2026 drawn on first choice: resident / nonresident	584 / 16
2026 first-choice odds: resident / nonresident	52.6% / 39.0%
2026 total successful (all choices and pools)	600

Resident odds by bonus point (2026 drawing)

Share of first-choice resident applicants at each bonus-point level who drew, from FWP's 2026 bonus point report. Each applicant gets one chance plus their points squared, so the draw favors high point holders without a hard cutoff. How Montana bonus points work.

Bonus points	Chances in drawing	1st-choice applicants	Drawn	Odds at this level
0	1	259	64	24.7%
1	2	502	225	44.8%
2	5	232	185	79.7%
3	10	73	67	91.8%
4	17	29	27	93.1%
5	26	8	8	100.0%
6	37	4	4	100.0%
7	50	2	2	100.0%
9	82	1	1	100.0%
10	101	1	1	100.0%

Resident outlook for 2027

If first-choice demand keeps its 2023 to 2026 trend (-3 applicants a year), about 1,108 residents would apply in 2027; with the same number of first-choice licenses, overall first-choice odds would be about 53%. Average bonus points among first-choice applicants are trending to about 1.4 (+0.12 a year), a measure of point creep in a weighted draw. Confidence: medium.

Nonresident odds by bonus point (2026 drawing)

Share of first-choice nonresident applicants at each bonus-point level who drew, from FWP's 2026 bonus point report. Each applicant gets one chance plus their points squared, so the draw favors high point holders without a hard cutoff. How Montana bonus points work.

Bonus points	Chances in drawing	1st-choice applicants	Drawn	Odds at this level
0	1	9	1	11.1%
1	2	21	8	38.1%
2	5	6	2	33.3%
3	10	4	4	100.0%
6	37	1	1	100.0%

Nonresident outlook for 2027

If first-choice demand keeps its 2023 to 2026 trend (+2 applicants a year), about 43 nonresidents would apply in 2027; with the same number of first-choice licenses, overall first-choice odds would be about 37%. Average bonus points among first-choice applicants are trending to about 1.4 (+0.13 a year), a measure of point creep in a weighted draw. Confidence: medium.

First-choice odds by year

First-choice draws over first-choice applicants in the regular drawing (landowner preference excluded).

Draw year	Quota	Res applicants	Res odds	NR applicants	NR odds
2023	600	1,119	52.1%	34	50.0%
2024	600	1,102	53.4%	30	36.7%
2025	600	1,026	56.8%	37	40.5%
2026	600	1,111	52.6%	41	39.0%

Outlook method: see the top of the Montana points explainer and our forecast method. It is a trend line, not a promise.

Notes from TagCanyon

In 2026, 1,111 residents listed this drawing first for a quota of 600, about 1.9 resident applicants per license.
Residents: at 0 bonus points 25% drew; at 5 points (the highest level with at least 5 applicants) 100% drew.
Nonresidents: at 0 bonus points 11% drew; at 2 points (the highest level with at least 5 applicants) 33% drew.

Deadline

Elk B, deer B, antelope and antelope B licenses: FWP's 2026 window ran Mar 1 to Jun 1, 2026 (11:45 p.m. Mountain). FWP has not posted 2027 dates yet; the June 1 deadline has held in recent years. FWP application and drawing dates.

Source: Montana Fish, Wildlife & Parks (FWP), 2026 Drawing Statistics reports (MyFWP drawing statistics, FWP application and drawing dates). Tables, outlooks and text are TagCanyon's own; FWP does not warrant or endorse them. Not affiliated with FWP. Retrieved Oct 17, 2026.