380-00 Elk B License Draw Odds, Montana

Elk b license, district 380-00, from FWP's 2023 to 2026 drawing statistics. Jump to resident odds or nonresident odds.

Fact	Value
Drawing	Elk b license, district 380-00
2026 total quota	325
2026 nonresident cap (FWP's NR quota column)	32
2026 landowner preference cap: resident / nonresident	49 / 32
2026 first-choice applicants: resident / nonresident	2,042 / 86
2026 drawn on first choice: resident / nonresident	296 / 9
2026 first-choice odds: resident / nonresident	14.5% / 10.5%
2026 total successful (all choices and pools)	325

Resident odds by bonus point (2026 drawing)

Share of first-choice resident applicants at each bonus-point level who drew, from FWP's 2026 bonus point report. Each applicant gets one chance plus their points squared, so the draw favors high point holders without a hard cutoff. How Montana bonus points work.

Bonus points	Chances in drawing	1st-choice applicants	Drawn	Odds at this level
0	1	429	5	1.2%
1	2	429	14	3.3%
2	5	370	44	11.9%
3	10	326	52	16.0%
4	17	225	64	28.4%
5	26	135	51	37.8%
6	37	70	34	48.6%
7	50	24	11	45.8%
8	65	24	14	58.3%
9	82	8	5	62.5%
10	101	2	2	100.0%

Resident outlook for 2027

If first-choice demand keeps its 2023 to 2026 trend (+278 applicants a year), about 2,320 residents would apply in 2027; with the same number of first-choice licenses, overall first-choice odds would be about 13%. Average bonus points among first-choice applicants are trending to about 2.4 (+0.16 a year), a measure of point creep in a weighted draw. Confidence: low.

Landowner preference (residents, 2026): 20 first-choice applicants, 20 drawn.

Nonresident odds by bonus point (2026 drawing)

Share of first-choice nonresident applicants at each bonus-point level who drew, from FWP's 2026 bonus point report. Each applicant gets one chance plus their points squared, so the draw favors high point holders without a hard cutoff. How Montana bonus points work.

Bonus points	Chances in drawing	1st-choice applicants	Drawn	Odds at this level
0	1	22	0	0.0%
1	2	26	2	7.7%
2	5	15	0	0.0%
3	10	12	4	33.3%
4	17	8	1	12.5%
5	26	1	0	0.0%
6	37	1	1	100.0%
7	50	1	1	100.0%

Nonresident outlook for 2027

If first-choice demand keeps its 2023 to 2026 trend (+11 applicants a year), about 97 nonresidents would apply in 2027; with the same number of first-choice licenses, overall first-choice odds would be about 9%. Average bonus points among first-choice applicants are trending to about 1.6 (-0.00 a year), a measure of point creep in a weighted draw. Confidence: low.

First-choice odds by year

First-choice draws over first-choice applicants in the regular drawing (landowner preference excluded).

Draw year	Quota	Res applicants	Res odds	NR applicants	NR odds
2023	50	1,208	3.6%	53	1.9%
2024	50	1,308	3.1%	35	2.9%
2025	50	1,356	2.9%	45	4.4%
2026	325	2,042	14.5%	86	10.5%

Outlook method: see the top of the Montana points explainer and our forecast method. It is a trend line, not a promise.

Notes from TagCanyon

In 2026, 2,042 residents listed this drawing first for a quota of 325, about 6.3 resident applicants per license.
Residents: at 0 bonus points 1% drew; at 9 points (the highest level with at least 5 applicants) 62% drew.
Nonresidents: at 0 bonus points 0% drew; at 4 points (the highest level with at least 5 applicants) 12% drew.

Deadline

Elk B, deer B, antelope and antelope B licenses: FWP's 2026 window ran Mar 1 to Jun 1, 2026 (11:45 p.m. Mountain). FWP has not posted 2027 dates yet; the June 1 deadline has held in recent years. FWP application and drawing dates.

Source: Montana Fish, Wildlife & Parks (FWP), 2026 Drawing Statistics reports (MyFWP drawing statistics, FWP application and drawing dates). Tables, outlooks and text are TagCanyon's own; FWP does not warrant or endorse them. Not affiliated with FWP. Retrieved Oct 17, 2026.