313-01 Elk B License Draw Odds, Montana

Elk b license, district 313-01, from FWP's 2024 to 2026 drawing statistics. Jump to resident odds or nonresident odds.

Fact	Value
Drawing	Elk b license, district 313-01
2026 total quota	50
2026 nonresident cap (FWP's NR quota column)	5
2026 landowner preference cap: resident / nonresident	8 / 5
2026 first-choice applicants: resident / nonresident	781 / 32
2026 drawn on first choice: resident / nonresident	48 / 2
2026 first-choice odds: resident / nonresident	6.1% / 6.2%
2026 total successful (all choices and pools)	50

Resident odds by bonus point (2026 drawing)

Share of first-choice resident applicants at each bonus-point level who drew, from FWP's 2026 bonus point report. Each applicant gets one chance plus their points squared, so the draw favors high point holders without a hard cutoff. How Montana bonus points work.

Bonus points	Chances in drawing	1st-choice applicants	Drawn	Odds at this level
0	1	174	2	1.1%
1	2	251	5	2.0%
2	5	161	13	8.1%
3	10	147	19	12.9%
4	17	28	5	17.9%
5	26	10	3	30.0%
6	37	6	1	16.7%
7	50	2	0	0.0%
9	82	2	0	0.0%

Resident outlook for 2027

If first-choice demand keeps its 2024 to 2026 trend (+94 applicants a year), about 876 residents would apply in 2027; with the same number of first-choice licenses, overall first-choice odds would be about 5%. Average bonus points among first-choice applicants are trending to about 1.9 (+0.35 a year), a measure of point creep in a weighted draw. Confidence: medium.

Nonresident odds by bonus point (2026 drawing)

Share of first-choice nonresident applicants at each bonus-point level who drew, from FWP's 2026 bonus point report. Each applicant gets one chance plus their points squared, so the draw favors high point holders without a hard cutoff. How Montana bonus points work.

Bonus points	Chances in drawing	1st-choice applicants	Drawn	Odds at this level
0	1	13	1	7.7%
1	2	10	0	0.0%
2	5	6	0	0.0%
3	10	3	1	33.3%

Nonresident outlook for 2027

If first-choice demand keeps its 2024 to 2026 trend (-9 applicants a year), about 23 nonresidents would apply in 2027; with the same number of first-choice licenses, overall first-choice odds would be about 9%. Average bonus points among first-choice applicants are trending to about 1.1 (+0.10 a year), a measure of point creep in a weighted draw. Confidence: low.

First-choice odds by year

First-choice draws over first-choice applicants in the regular drawing (landowner preference excluded).

Draw year	Quota	Res applicants	Res odds	NR applicants	NR odds
2024	25	592	3.9%	50	4.0%
2025	50	623	7.7%	31	6.5%
2026	50	781	6.1%	32	6.2%

Outlook method: see the top of the Montana points explainer and our forecast method. It is a trend line, not a promise.

Notes from TagCanyon

In 2026, 781 residents listed this drawing first for a quota of 50, about 15.6 resident applicants per license.
Residents: at 0 bonus points 1% drew; at 6 points (the highest level with at least 5 applicants) 17% drew.
Nonresidents: at 0 bonus points 8% drew; at 2 points (the highest level with at least 5 applicants) 0% drew.

Deadline

Elk B, deer B, antelope and antelope B licenses: FWP's 2026 window ran Mar 1 to Jun 1, 2026 (11:45 p.m. Mountain). FWP has not posted 2027 dates yet; the June 1 deadline has held in recent years. FWP application and drawing dates.

Source: Montana Fish, Wildlife & Parks (FWP), 2026 Drawing Statistics reports (MyFWP drawing statistics, FWP application and drawing dates). Tables, outlooks and text are TagCanyon's own; FWP does not warrant or endorse them. Not affiliated with FWP. Retrieved Oct 17, 2026.