290-01 Elk B License Draw Odds, Montana

Elk b license, district 290-01, from FWP's 2023 to 2026 drawing statistics. Jump to resident odds or nonresident odds.

Fact	Value
Drawing	Elk b license, district 290-01
2026 total quota	200
2026 nonresident cap (FWP's NR quota column)	20
2026 landowner preference cap: resident / nonresident	30 / 20
2026 first-choice applicants: resident / nonresident	278 / 16
2026 drawn on first choice: resident / nonresident	188 / 10
2026 first-choice odds: resident / nonresident	67.6% / 62.5%
2026 total successful (all choices and pools)	200

Resident odds by bonus point (2026 drawing)

Share of first-choice resident applicants at each bonus-point level who drew, from FWP's 2026 bonus point report. Each applicant gets one chance plus their points squared, so the draw favors high point holders without a hard cutoff. How Montana bonus points work.

Bonus points	Chances in drawing	1st-choice applicants	Drawn	Odds at this level
0	1	98	49	50.0%
1	2	145	104	71.7%
2	5	19	19	100.0%
3	10	9	9	100.0%
4	17	4	4	100.0%
5	26	2	2	100.0%
7	50	1	1	100.0%

Resident outlook for 2027

If first-choice demand keeps its 2023 to 2026 trend (+28 applicants a year), about 306 residents would apply in 2027; with the same number of first-choice licenses, overall first-choice odds would be about 61%. Average bonus points among first-choice applicants are trending to about 0.9 (+0.01 a year), a measure of point creep in a weighted draw. Confidence: low.

Landowner preference (residents, 2026): 2 first-choice applicants, 2 drawn.

Nonresident odds by bonus point (2026 drawing)

Share of first-choice nonresident applicants at each bonus-point level who drew, from FWP's 2026 bonus point report. Each applicant gets one chance plus their points squared, so the draw favors high point holders without a hard cutoff. How Montana bonus points work.

Bonus points	Chances in drawing	1st-choice applicants	Drawn	Odds at this level
0	1	8	4	50.0%
1	2	6	4	66.7%
2	5	1	1	100.0%
4	17	1	1	100.0%

Nonresident outlook for 2027

If first-choice demand keeps its 2023 to 2026 trend (+3 applicants a year), about 19 nonresidents would apply in 2027; with the same number of first-choice licenses, overall first-choice odds would be about 54%. Average bonus points among first-choice applicants are trending to about 0.8 (+0.04 a year), a measure of point creep in a weighted draw. Confidence: low.

First-choice odds by year

First-choice draws over first-choice applicants in the regular drawing (landowner preference excluded).

Draw year	Quota	Res applicants	Res odds	NR applicants	NR odds
2023	200	193	98.4%	8	100.0%
2024	200	201	92.0%	18	72.2%
2025	200	190	95.8%	16	100.0%
2026	200	278	67.6%	16	62.5%

Outlook method: see the top of the Montana points explainer and our forecast method. It is a trend line, not a promise.

Notes from TagCanyon

In 2026, 278 residents listed this drawing first for a quota of 200, about 1.4 resident applicants per license.
Residents: at 0 bonus points 50% drew; at 3 points (the highest level with at least 5 applicants) 100% drew.
Nonresidents: at 0 bonus points 50% drew; at 1 points (the highest level with at least 5 applicants) 67% drew.

Deadline

Elk B, deer B, antelope and antelope B licenses: FWP's 2026 window ran Mar 1 to Jun 1, 2026 (11:45 p.m. Mountain). FWP has not posted 2027 dates yet; the June 1 deadline has held in recent years. FWP application and drawing dates.

Source: Montana Fish, Wildlife & Parks (FWP), 2026 Drawing Statistics reports (MyFWP drawing statistics, FWP application and drawing dates). Tables, outlooks and text are TagCanyon's own; FWP does not warrant or endorse them. Not affiliated with FWP. Retrieved Oct 17, 2026.