213-01 Elk B License Draw Odds, Montana

Elk b license, district 213-01, from FWP's 2023 to 2026 drawing statistics. Jump to resident odds or nonresident odds.

Fact	Value
Drawing	Elk b license, district 213-01
2026 total quota	500
2026 nonresident cap (FWP's NR quota column)	50
2026 landowner preference cap: resident / nonresident	75 / 50
2026 first-choice applicants: resident / nonresident	592 / 68
2026 drawn on first choice: resident / nonresident	449 / 50
2026 first-choice odds: resident / nonresident	75.8% / 73.5%
2026 total successful (all choices and pools)	500

Resident odds by bonus point (2026 drawing)

Share of first-choice resident applicants at each bonus-point level who drew, from FWP's 2026 bonus point report. Each applicant gets one chance plus their points squared, so the draw favors high point holders without a hard cutoff. How Montana bonus points work.

Bonus points	Chances in drawing	1st-choice applicants	Drawn	Odds at this level
0	1	203	105	51.7%
1	2	271	227	83.8%
2	5	97	96	99.0%
3	10	12	12	100.0%
4	17	5	5	100.0%
5	26	3	3	100.0%
6	37	1	1	100.0%

Resident outlook for 2027

If first-choice demand keeps its 2023 to 2026 trend (+18 applicants a year), about 610 residents would apply in 2027; with the same number of first-choice licenses, overall first-choice odds would be about 74%. Average bonus points among first-choice applicants are trending to about 1.0 (+0.06 a year), a measure of point creep in a weighted draw. Confidence: medium.

Landowner preference (residents, 2026): 1 first-choice applicants, 1 drawn.

Nonresident odds by bonus point (2026 drawing)

Share of first-choice nonresident applicants at each bonus-point level who drew, from FWP's 2026 bonus point report. Each applicant gets one chance plus their points squared, so the draw favors high point holders without a hard cutoff. How Montana bonus points work.

Bonus points	Chances in drawing	1st-choice applicants	Drawn	Odds at this level
0	1	14	6	42.9%
1	2	43	33	76.7%
2	5	7	7	100.0%
3	10	4	4	100.0%

Nonresident outlook for 2027

If first-choice demand keeps its 2023 to 2026 trend (+5 applicants a year), about 73 nonresidents would apply in 2027; with the same number of first-choice licenses, overall first-choice odds would be about 68%. Average bonus points among first-choice applicants are trending to about 1.1 (+0.08 a year), a measure of point creep in a weighted draw. Confidence: medium.

First-choice odds by year

First-choice draws over first-choice applicants in the regular drawing (landowner preference excluded).

Draw year	Quota	Res applicants	Res odds	NR applicants	NR odds
2023	350	539	58.4%	53	64.2%
2024	350	559	58.1%	53	45.3%
2025	350	571	55.2%	54	63.0%
2026	500	592	75.8%	68	73.5%

Outlook method: see the top of the Montana points explainer and our forecast method. It is a trend line, not a promise.

Notes from TagCanyon

In 2026, 592 residents listed this drawing first for a quota of 500, about 1.2 resident applicants per license.
Residents: at 0 bonus points 52% drew; at 4 points (the highest level with at least 5 applicants) 100% drew.
Nonresidents: at 0 bonus points 43% drew; at 2 points (the highest level with at least 5 applicants) 100% drew.

Deadline

Elk B, deer B, antelope and antelope B licenses: FWP's 2026 window ran Mar 1 to Jun 1, 2026 (11:45 p.m. Mountain). FWP has not posted 2027 dates yet; the June 1 deadline has held in recent years. FWP application and drawing dates.

Source: Montana Fish, Wildlife & Parks (FWP), 2026 Drawing Statistics reports (MyFWP drawing statistics, FWP application and drawing dates). Tables, outlooks and text are TagCanyon's own; FWP does not warrant or endorse them. Not affiliated with FWP. Retrieved Oct 17, 2026.