103-00 Elk B License Draw Odds, Montana

Elk b license, district 103-00, from FWP's 2023 to 2026 drawing statistics. Jump to resident odds or nonresident odds.

Fact	Value
Drawing	Elk b license, district 103-00
2026 total quota	25
2026 nonresident cap (FWP's NR quota column)	2
2026 landowner preference cap: resident / nonresident	4 / 2
2026 first-choice applicants: resident / nonresident	975 / 14
2026 drawn on first choice: resident / nonresident	21 / 0
2026 first-choice odds: resident / nonresident	2.2% / 0.0%
2026 total successful (all choices and pools)	25

Resident odds by bonus point (2026 drawing)

Share of first-choice resident applicants at each bonus-point level who drew, from FWP's 2026 bonus point report. Each applicant gets one chance plus their points squared, so the draw favors high point holders without a hard cutoff. How Montana bonus points work.

Bonus points	Chances in drawing	1st-choice applicants	Drawn	Odds at this level
0	1	211	0	0.0%
1	2	179	1	0.6%
2	5	139	0	0.0%
3	10	129	5	3.9%
4	17	125	3	2.4%
5	26	93	4	4.3%
6	37	41	1	2.4%
7	50	27	3	11.1%
8	65	12	2	16.7%
9	82	6	0	0.0%
10	101	3	0	0.0%
11	122	5	1	20.0%
12	145	1	0	0.0%
13	170	1	0	0.0%
14	197	1	0	0.0%
15	226	2	1	50.0%

Resident outlook for 2027

If first-choice demand keeps its 2023 to 2026 trend (-40 applicants a year), about 935 residents would apply in 2027; with the same number of first-choice licenses, overall first-choice odds would be about 2%. Average bonus points among first-choice applicants are trending to about 2.9 (+0.28 a year), a measure of point creep in a weighted draw. Confidence: medium.

Landowner preference (residents, 2026): 4 first-choice applicants, 4 drawn.

Nonresident odds by bonus point (2026 drawing)

Share of first-choice nonresident applicants at each bonus-point level who drew, from FWP's 2026 bonus point report. Each applicant gets one chance plus their points squared, so the draw favors high point holders without a hard cutoff. How Montana bonus points work.

Bonus points	Chances in drawing	1st-choice applicants	Odds at this level
0	1	4	0.0%
1	2	5	0.0%
2	5	2	0.0%
3	10	3	0.0%

Nonresident outlook for 2027

If first-choice demand keeps its 2023 to 2026 trend (-2 applicants a year), about 12 nonresidents would apply in 2027; with the same number of first-choice licenses, overall first-choice odds would be about 0%. Average bonus points among first-choice applicants are trending to about 1.4 (+0.11 a year), a measure of point creep in a weighted draw. Confidence: medium.

First-choice odds by year

First-choice draws over first-choice applicants in the regular drawing (landowner preference excluded).

Draw year	Quota	Res applicants	Res odds	NR applicants	NR odds
2023	25	1,096	2.2%	19	0.0%
2024	25	1,079	2.2%	17	0.0%
2025	25	1,188	1.9%	15	0.0%
2026	25	975	2.2%	14	0.0%

Outlook method: see the top of the Montana points explainer and our forecast method. It is a trend line, not a promise.

Notes from TagCanyon

In 2026, 975 residents listed this drawing first for a quota of 25, about 39.0 resident applicants per license.
Residents: at 0 bonus points 0% drew; at 11 points (the highest level with at least 5 applicants) 20% drew.

Deadline

Elk B, deer B, antelope and antelope B licenses: FWP's 2026 window ran Mar 1 to Jun 1, 2026 (11:45 p.m. Mountain). FWP has not posted 2027 dates yet; the June 1 deadline has held in recent years. FWP application and drawing dates.

Source: Montana Fish, Wildlife & Parks (FWP), 2026 Drawing Statistics reports (MyFWP drawing statistics, FWP application and drawing dates). Tables, outlooks and text are TagCanyon's own; FWP does not warrant or endorse them. Not affiliated with FWP. Retrieved Oct 17, 2026.