471-20 Antelope License Draw Odds, Montana

Antelope license, district 471-20, from FWP's 2023 to 2026 drawing statistics. Jump to resident odds or nonresident odds.

Fact	Value
Drawing	Antelope license, district 471-20
2026 total quota	350
2026 nonresident cap (FWP's NR quota column)	35
2026 landowner preference cap: resident / nonresident	53 / 35
2026 first-choice applicants: resident / nonresident	1,523 / 110
2026 drawn on first choice: resident / nonresident	288 / 24
2026 first-choice odds: resident / nonresident	18.9% / 21.8%
2026 total successful (all choices and pools)	348

Resident odds by bonus point (2026 drawing)

Share of first-choice resident applicants at each bonus-point level who drew, from FWP's 2026 bonus point report. Each applicant gets one chance plus their points squared, so the draw favors high point holders without a hard cutoff. How Montana bonus points work.

Bonus points	Chances in drawing	1st-choice applicants	Drawn	Odds at this level
0	1	279	10	3.6%
1	2	476	25	5.3%
2	5	297	49	16.5%
3	10	222	70	31.5%
4	17	152	70	46.1%
5	26	77	50	64.9%
6	37	13	10	76.9%
7	50	7	4	57.1%
8	65	2	2	100.0%

Resident outlook for 2027

If first-choice demand keeps its 2023 to 2026 trend (+26 applicants a year), about 1,549 residents would apply in 2027; with the same number of first-choice licenses, overall first-choice odds would be about 19%. Average bonus points among first-choice applicants are trending to about 2.0 (+0.11 a year), a measure of point creep in a weighted draw. Confidence: medium.

Landowner preference (residents, 2026): 27 first-choice applicants, 27 drawn.

Nonresident odds by bonus point (2026 drawing)

Share of first-choice nonresident applicants at each bonus-point level who drew, from FWP's 2026 bonus point report. Each applicant gets one chance plus their points squared, so the draw favors high point holders without a hard cutoff. How Montana bonus points work.

Bonus points	Chances in drawing	1st-choice applicants	Drawn	Odds at this level
0	1	13	0	0.0%
1	2	23	1	4.3%
2	5	26	2	7.7%
3	10	22	7	31.8%
4	17	18	10	55.6%
5	26	2	1	50.0%
6	37	5	2	40.0%
10	101	1	1	100.0%

Nonresident outlook for 2027

If first-choice demand keeps its 2023 to 2026 trend (+1 applicants a year), about 111 nonresidents would apply in 2027; with the same number of first-choice licenses, overall first-choice odds would be about 22%. Average bonus points among first-choice applicants are trending to about 2.7 (+0.30 a year), a measure of point creep in a weighted draw. Confidence: medium.

Landowner preference (nonresidents, 2026): 9 first-choice applicants, 9 drawn.

First-choice odds by year

First-choice draws over first-choice applicants in the regular drawing (landowner preference excluded).

Draw year	Quota	Res applicants	Res odds	NR applicants	NR odds
2023	250	1,446	13.5%	107	16.8%
2024	250	1,454	13.9%	123	8.9%
2025	350	1,339	21.1%	120	20.8%
2026	350	1,523	18.9%	110	21.8%

Outlook method: see the top of the Montana points explainer and our forecast method. It is a trend line, not a promise.

Notes from TagCanyon

In 2026, 1,523 residents listed this drawing first for a quota of 350, about 4.4 resident applicants per license.
Residents: at 0 bonus points 4% drew; at 7 points (the highest level with at least 5 applicants) 57% drew.
Nonresidents: at 0 bonus points 0% drew; at 6 points (the highest level with at least 5 applicants) 40% drew.

Deadline

Elk B, deer B, antelope and antelope B licenses: FWP's 2026 window ran Mar 1 to Jun 1, 2026 (11:45 p.m. Mountain). FWP has not posted 2027 dates yet; the June 1 deadline has held in recent years. FWP application and drawing dates.

Source: Montana Fish, Wildlife & Parks (FWP), 2026 Drawing Statistics reports (MyFWP drawing statistics, FWP application and drawing dates). Tables, outlooks and text are TagCanyon's own; FWP does not warrant or endorse them. Not affiliated with FWP. Retrieved Oct 17, 2026.