450-20 Antelope License Draw Odds, Montana

Antelope license, district 450-20, from FWP's 2023 to 2026 drawing statistics. Jump to resident odds or nonresident odds.

Fact	Value
Drawing	Antelope license, district 450-20
2026 total quota	100
2026 nonresident cap (FWP's NR quota column)	10
2026 landowner preference cap: resident / nonresident	15 / 10
2026 first-choice applicants: resident / nonresident	322 / 30
2026 drawn on first choice: resident / nonresident	79 / 8
2026 first-choice odds: resident / nonresident	24.5% / 26.7%
2026 total successful (all choices and pools)	100

Resident odds by bonus point (2026 drawing)

Share of first-choice resident applicants at each bonus-point level who drew, from FWP's 2026 bonus point report. Each applicant gets one chance plus their points squared, so the draw favors high point holders without a hard cutoff. How Montana bonus points work.

Bonus points	Chances in drawing	1st-choice applicants	Drawn	Odds at this level
0	1	70	3	4.3%
1	2	99	7	7.1%
2	5	73	19	26.0%
3	10	43	24	55.8%
4	17	22	14	63.6%
5	26	12	9	75.0%
6	37	2	2	100.0%
7	50	1	1	100.0%

Resident outlook for 2027

If first-choice demand keeps its 2023 to 2026 trend (+27 applicants a year), about 349 residents would apply in 2027; with the same number of first-choice licenses, overall first-choice odds would be about 23%. Average bonus points among first-choice applicants are trending to about 1.7 (+0.02 a year), a measure of point creep in a weighted draw. Confidence: medium.

Landowner preference (residents, 2026): 11 first-choice applicants, 11 drawn.

Nonresident odds by bonus point (2026 drawing)

Share of first-choice nonresident applicants at each bonus-point level who drew, from FWP's 2026 bonus point report. Each applicant gets one chance plus their points squared, so the draw favors high point holders without a hard cutoff. How Montana bonus points work.

Bonus points	Chances in drawing	1st-choice applicants	Drawn	Odds at this level
0	1	3	0	0.0%
1	2	16	5	31.2%
2	5	5	1	20.0%
3	10	3	0	0.0%
4	17	1	1	100.0%
5	26	2	1	50.0%

Nonresident outlook for 2027

If first-choice demand keeps its 2023 to 2026 trend (+4 applicants a year), about 34 nonresidents would apply in 2027; with the same number of first-choice licenses, overall first-choice odds would be about 24%. Average bonus points among first-choice applicants are trending to about 1.8 (+0.12 a year), a measure of point creep in a weighted draw. Confidence: low.

Landowner preference (nonresidents, 2026): 2 first-choice applicants, 2 drawn.

First-choice odds by year

First-choice draws over first-choice applicants in the regular drawing (landowner preference excluded).

Draw year	Quota	Res applicants	Res odds	NR applicants	NR odds
2023	50	241	19.5%	18	11.1%
2024	75	253	26.1%	27	7.4%
2025	75	279	23.7%	16	12.5%
2026	100	322	24.5%	30	26.7%

Outlook method: see the top of the Montana points explainer and our forecast method. It is a trend line, not a promise.

Notes from TagCanyon

In 2026, 322 residents listed this drawing first for a quota of 100, about 3.2 resident applicants per license.
Residents: at 0 bonus points 4% drew; at 5 points (the highest level with at least 5 applicants) 75% drew.
Nonresidents: at 1 bonus points 31% drew; at 2 points (the highest level with at least 5 applicants) 20% drew.

Deadline

Elk B, deer B, antelope and antelope B licenses: FWP's 2026 window ran Mar 1 to Jun 1, 2026 (11:45 p.m. Mountain). FWP has not posted 2027 dates yet; the June 1 deadline has held in recent years. FWP application and drawing dates.

Source: Montana Fish, Wildlife & Parks (FWP), 2026 Drawing Statistics reports (MyFWP drawing statistics, FWP application and drawing dates). Tables, outlooks and text are TagCanyon's own; FWP does not warrant or endorse them. Not affiliated with FWP. Retrieved Oct 17, 2026.