444-30 Antelope B License Draw Odds, Montana

Antelope b license, district 444-30, from FWP's 2023 to 2026 drawing statistics. Jump to resident odds or nonresident odds.

Fact	Value
Drawing	Antelope b license, district 444-30
2026 total quota	50
2026 nonresident cap (FWP's NR quota column)	5
2026 landowner preference cap: resident / nonresident	8 / 5
2026 first-choice applicants: resident / nonresident	276 / 2
2026 drawn on first choice: resident / nonresident	45 / 0
2026 first-choice odds: resident / nonresident	16.3% / 0.0%
2026 total successful (all choices and pools)	50

Resident odds by bonus point (2026 drawing)

Share of first-choice resident applicants at each bonus-point level who drew, from FWP's 2026 bonus point report. Each applicant gets one chance plus their points squared, so the draw favors high point holders without a hard cutoff. How Montana bonus points work.

Bonus points	Chances in drawing	1st-choice applicants	Drawn	Odds at this level
0	1	39	1	2.6%
1	2	84	8	9.5%
2	5	71	11	15.5%
3	10	55	14	25.5%
4	17	19	7	36.8%
5	26	7	3	42.9%
6	37	1	1	100.0%

Resident outlook for 2027

If first-choice demand keeps its 2023 to 2026 trend (+6 applicants a year), about 282 residents would apply in 2027; with the same number of first-choice licenses, overall first-choice odds would be about 16%. Average bonus points among first-choice applicants are trending to about 2.0 (+0.15 a year), a measure of point creep in a weighted draw. Confidence: medium.

Landowner preference (residents, 2026): 5 first-choice applicants, 5 drawn.

Nonresident odds by bonus point (2026 drawing)

Share of first-choice nonresident applicants at each bonus-point level who drew, from FWP's 2026 bonus point report. Each applicant gets one chance plus their points squared, so the draw favors high point holders without a hard cutoff. How Montana bonus points work.

Bonus points	Chances in drawing	1st-choice applicants	Drawn	Odds at this level
1	2	1	0	0.0%
2	5	1	0	0.0%

Nonresident outlook for 2027

If first-choice demand keeps its 2023 to 2026 trend (-1 applicants a year), about 1 nonresidents would apply in 2027; with the same number of first-choice licenses, overall first-choice odds would be about 0%. Average bonus points among first-choice applicants are trending to about 1.6 (+0.15 a year), a measure of point creep in a weighted draw. Confidence: low.

First-choice odds by year

First-choice draws over first-choice applicants in the regular drawing (landowner preference excluded).

Draw year	Quota	Res applicants	Res odds	NR applicants	NR odds
2023	75	257	28.4%	5	0.0%
2024	75	294	24.1%	6	33.3%
2025	50	263	17.5%	0	—
2026	50	276	16.3%	2	0.0%

Outlook method: see the top of the Montana points explainer and our forecast method. It is a trend line, not a promise.

Notes from TagCanyon

In 2026, 276 residents listed this drawing first for a quota of 50, about 5.5 resident applicants per license.
Residents: at 0 bonus points 3% drew; at 5 points (the highest level with at least 5 applicants) 43% drew.

Deadline

Elk B, deer B, antelope and antelope B licenses: FWP's 2026 window ran Mar 1 to Jun 1, 2026 (11:45 p.m. Mountain). FWP has not posted 2027 dates yet; the June 1 deadline has held in recent years. FWP application and drawing dates.

Source: Montana Fish, Wildlife & Parks (FWP), 2026 Drawing Statistics reports (MyFWP drawing statistics, FWP application and drawing dates). Tables, outlooks and text are TagCanyon's own; FWP does not warrant or endorse them. Not affiliated with FWP. Retrieved Oct 17, 2026.