EF104P5R Elk Draw Odds, Colorado
Antlerless (female) elk in GMU 104, private-land-only rifle season. Jump to resident odds or nonresident odds.
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| Fact | Value |
|---|---|
| Hunt | Antlerless (female) elk, GMU 104, private-land-only rifle season |
| License list | C |
| 2026 quota | 300 |
| 2026 first-choice applicants (adult + youth, res + nonres) | 29 |
| 2026 licenses drawn: resident / nonresident (adult) | 77 / 0 |
| Share drawn by residents (incl. youth) | 100% |
| Nonresident cap / hybrid draw share | N/A / N/A |
| CPW drawn out at, 2026: resident | licenses left over |
| CPW drawn out at, 2026: nonresident | licenses left over |
Resident odds by preference point (2026 draw)
Share of first-choice resident applicants at each point level who drew this code in CPW's 2026 primary draw. Levels below the cut that still show draws come from CPW's hybrid or random share.
| Your points | 1st-choice applicants | Drawn | Odds at this level |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% |
| 5 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% |
| 4 | 2 | 2 | 100.0% |
| 3 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% |
| 2 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% |
| 1 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% |
| 0 | 18 | 18 | 100.0% |
Resident point-creep forecast for 2027
The trend points to a hunt that draws without points next year if quota and demand hold.
Nonresident odds by preference point (2026 draw)
Share of first-choice nonresident applicants at each point level who drew this code in CPW's 2026 primary draw. Levels below the cut that still show draws come from CPW's hybrid or random share.
No nonresident listed this code as first choice in 2026.
Nonresident point-creep forecast for 2027
The trend points to a hunt that draws without points next year if quota and demand hold.
Drawn-out history
The point level where CPW's preference draw ran out for adult applicants, each year.
| Draw year | Resident | Nonresident |
|---|---|---|
| 2023 | licenses left over | licenses left over |
| 2024 | licenses left over | licenses left over |
| 2025 | licenses left over | licenses left over |
| 2026 | licenses left over | licenses left over |
Forecast method: how we forecast point creep. It is a trend line, not a promise.
Notes from TagCanyon
29 hunters put this code first for 300 licenses in 2026, about 0.1 first-choice applications per license. For residents, the points-to-draw index held steady from 2023 to 2026. For nonresidents, the points-to-draw index held steady from 2023 to 2026.
Deadline
CPW's 2026 primary draw ran Mar 1 to Apr 7, 2026 (8 p.m. Mountain). CPW has not posted the 2027 dates yet; recent years closed on the first Tuesday of April. A current qualifying license is required before you apply. CPW primary draw page.
Source: Colorado Parks and Wildlife (CPW), 2026 Primary Draw Recap for elk (report, CPW elk statistics). Tables, forecasts and text are TagCanyon's own; CPW does not warrant or endorse them. Not affiliated with CPW. Retrieved Oct 17, 2026.
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