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DF018O1M Deer Draw Odds, Colorado

Antlerless (female) deer in GMU 18, regular muzzleloader season. Jump to resident odds or nonresident odds.

FactValue
HuntAntlerless (female) deer, GMU 18, regular muzzleloader season
License listB
2026 quota50
2026 first-choice applicants (adult + youth, res + nonres)105
2026 licenses drawn: resident / nonresident (adult)38 / 0
Share drawn by residents (incl. youth)100%
Nonresident cap / hybrid draw share25% / N/A
CPW drawn out at, 2026: resident1 pts (10% drawn at that level)
CPW drawn out at, 2026: nonresidentnone drawn

Resident odds by preference point (2026 draw)

Share of first-choice resident applicants at each point level who drew this code in CPW's 2026 primary draw. Levels below the cut that still show draws come from CPW's hybrid or random share.

Your points1st-choice applicantsDrawnOdds at this level
1111100.0%
39888.9%
2282796.4%
120210.0%
03100.0%

Resident point-creep forecast for 2027

About 2 preference points is where the draw is likely to cut off next year, so applicants at 3 or more are likely to draw on first choice. Point creep has averaged +0.51 points a year (2023 to 2026). Confidence: medium.

Nonresident odds by preference point (2026 draw)

Share of first-choice nonresident applicants at each point level who drew this code in CPW's 2026 primary draw. Levels below the cut that still show draws come from CPW's hybrid or random share.

Your points1st-choice applicantsDrawnOdds at this level
0100.0%

Nonresident point-creep forecast for 2027

Not enough years of data for a forecast.

Drawn-out history

The point level where CPW's preference draw ran out for adult applicants, each year.

Draw yearResidentNonresident
20230 pts (62% drawn at that level)0 pts (50% drawn at that level)
20241 pts (13% drawn at that level)none drawn
20252 pts (23% drawn at that level)none drawn
20261 pts (10% drawn at that level)none drawn

Forecast method: how we forecast point creep. It is a trend line, not a promise.

Notes from TagCanyon

105 hunters put this code first for 50 licenses in 2026, about 2.1 first-choice applications per license. For residents, the points-to-draw index rose by about 1.5 points from 2023 to 2026. Nonresidents can receive at most 25% of the licenses in this code, so residents compete for the rest.

Deadline

CPW's 2026 primary draw ran Mar 1 to Apr 7, 2026 (8 p.m. Mountain). CPW has not posted the 2027 dates yet; recent years closed on the first Tuesday of April. A current qualifying license is required before you apply. CPW primary draw page.

Source: Colorado Parks and Wildlife (CPW), 2026 Primary Draw Recap for deer (report, CPW deer statistics). Tables, forecasts and text are TagCanyon's own; CPW does not warrant or endorse them. Not affiliated with CPW. Retrieved Oct 17, 2026.