690-20 Antelope License Draw Odds, Montana

Antelope license, district 690-20, from FWP's 2023 to 2026 drawing statistics. Jump to resident odds or nonresident odds.

Fact	Value
Drawing	Antelope license, district 690-20
2026 total quota	500
2026 nonresident cap (FWP's NR quota column)	50
2026 landowner preference cap: resident / nonresident	75 / 50
2026 first-choice applicants: resident / nonresident	1,485 / 201
2026 drawn on first choice: resident / nonresident	420 / 39
2026 first-choice odds: resident / nonresident	28.3% / 19.4%
2026 total successful (all choices and pools)	499

Resident odds by bonus point (2026 drawing)

Share of first-choice resident applicants at each bonus-point level who drew, from FWP's 2026 bonus point report. Each applicant gets one chance plus their points squared, so the draw favors high point holders without a hard cutoff. How Montana bonus points work.

Bonus points	Chances in drawing	1st-choice applicants	Drawn	Odds at this level
0	1	287	22	7.7%
1	2	506	93	18.4%
2	5	324	106	32.7%
3	10	197	97	49.2%
4	17	113	62	54.9%
5	26	39	26	66.7%
6	37	15	12	80.0%
7	50	3	1	33.3%
9	82	1	1	100.0%
10	101	1	1	100.0%

Resident outlook for 2027

If first-choice demand keeps its 2023 to 2026 trend (+22 applicants a year), about 1,507 residents would apply in 2027; with the same number of first-choice licenses, overall first-choice odds would be about 28%. Average bonus points among first-choice applicants are trending to about 1.8 (+0.11 a year), a measure of point creep in a weighted draw. Confidence: medium.

Landowner preference (residents, 2026): 37 first-choice applicants, 37 drawn.

Nonresident odds by bonus point (2026 drawing)

Share of first-choice nonresident applicants at each bonus-point level who drew, from FWP's 2026 bonus point report. Each applicant gets one chance plus their points squared, so the draw favors high point holders without a hard cutoff. How Montana bonus points work.

Bonus points	Chances in drawing	1st-choice applicants	Drawn	Odds at this level
0	1	18	0	0.0%
1	2	62	2	3.2%
2	5	41	4	9.8%
3	10	28	6	21.4%
4	17	24	10	41.7%
5	26	14	8	57.1%
6	37	7	3	42.9%
7	50	3	2	66.7%
8	65	3	3	100.0%
9	82	1	1	100.0%

Nonresident outlook for 2027

If first-choice demand keeps its 2023 to 2026 trend (-14 applicants a year), about 187 nonresidents would apply in 2027; with the same number of first-choice licenses, overall first-choice odds would be about 21%. Average bonus points among first-choice applicants are trending to about 2.6 (+0.18 a year), a measure of point creep in a weighted draw. Confidence: medium.

Landowner preference (nonresidents, 2026): 3 first-choice applicants, 3 drawn.

First-choice odds by year

First-choice draws over first-choice applicants in the regular drawing (landowner preference excluded).

Draw year	Quota	Res applicants	Res odds	NR applicants	NR odds
2023	300	1,418	17.5%	243	11.9%
2024	300	1,404	17.0%	222	11.7%
2025	500	1,359	30.5%	207	20.3%
2026	500	1,485	28.3%	201	19.4%

Outlook method: see the top of the Montana points explainer and our forecast method. It is a trend line, not a promise.

Notes from TagCanyon

In 2026, 1,485 residents listed this drawing first for a quota of 500, about 3.0 resident applicants per license.
Residents: at 0 bonus points 8% drew; at 6 points (the highest level with at least 5 applicants) 80% drew.
Nonresidents: at 0 bonus points 0% drew; at 6 points (the highest level with at least 5 applicants) 43% drew.

Deadline

Elk B, deer B, antelope and antelope B licenses: FWP's 2026 window ran Mar 1 to Jun 1, 2026 (11:45 p.m. Mountain). FWP has not posted 2027 dates yet; the June 1 deadline has held in recent years. FWP application and drawing dates.

Source: Montana Fish, Wildlife & Parks (FWP), 2026 Drawing Statistics reports (MyFWP drawing statistics, FWP application and drawing dates). Tables, outlooks and text are TagCanyon's own; FWP does not warrant or endorse them. Not affiliated with FWP. Retrieved Oct 17, 2026.