556-20 Antelope License Draw Odds, Montana

Antelope license, district 556-20, from FWP's 2023 to 2026 drawing statistics. Jump to resident odds or nonresident odds.

Fact	Value
Drawing	Antelope license, district 556-20
2026 total quota	125
2026 nonresident cap (FWP's NR quota column)	12
2026 landowner preference cap: resident / nonresident	19 / 12
2026 first-choice applicants: resident / nonresident	510 / 52
2026 drawn on first choice: resident / nonresident	102 / 10
2026 first-choice odds: resident / nonresident	20.0% / 19.2%
2026 total successful (all choices and pools)	125

Resident odds by bonus point (2026 drawing)

Share of first-choice resident applicants at each bonus-point level who drew, from FWP's 2026 bonus point report. Each applicant gets one chance plus their points squared, so the draw favors high point holders without a hard cutoff. How Montana bonus points work.

Bonus points	Chances in drawing	1st-choice applicants	Drawn	Odds at this level
0	1	152	7	4.6%
1	2	178	24	13.5%
2	5	97	25	25.8%
3	10	58	27	46.6%
4	17	21	17	81.0%
5	26	3	1	33.3%
6	37	1	1	100.0%

Resident outlook for 2027

If first-choice demand keeps its 2023 to 2026 trend (+46 applicants a year), about 556 residents would apply in 2027; with the same number of first-choice licenses, overall first-choice odds would be about 18%. Average bonus points among first-choice applicants are trending to about 1.4 (+0.09 a year), a measure of point creep in a weighted draw. Confidence: medium.

Landowner preference (residents, 2026): 12 first-choice applicants, 12 drawn.

Nonresident odds by bonus point (2026 drawing)

Share of first-choice nonresident applicants at each bonus-point level who drew, from FWP's 2026 bonus point report. Each applicant gets one chance plus their points squared, so the draw favors high point holders without a hard cutoff. How Montana bonus points work.

Bonus points	Chances in drawing	1st-choice applicants	Drawn	Odds at this level
0	1	5	0	0.0%
1	2	27	2	7.4%
2	5	10	2	20.0%
3	10	5	2	40.0%
4	17	4	3	75.0%
9	82	1	1	100.0%

Nonresident outlook for 2027

If first-choice demand keeps its 2023 to 2026 trend (+3 applicants a year), about 55 nonresidents would apply in 2027; with the same number of first-choice licenses, overall first-choice odds would be about 18%. Average bonus points among first-choice applicants are trending to about 1.7 (+0.07 a year), a measure of point creep in a weighted draw. Confidence: medium.

Landowner preference (nonresidents, 2026): 1 first-choice applicants, 1 drawn.

First-choice odds by year

First-choice draws over first-choice applicants in the regular drawing (landowner preference excluded).

Draw year	Quota	Res applicants	Res odds	NR applicants	NR odds
2023	125	371	28.6%	44	25.0%
2024	125	458	21.4%	56	21.4%
2025	125	455	22.9%	64	18.8%
2026	125	510	20.0%	52	19.2%

Outlook method: see the top of the Montana points explainer and our forecast method. It is a trend line, not a promise.

Notes from TagCanyon

In 2026, 510 residents listed this drawing first for a quota of 125, about 4.1 resident applicants per license.
Residents: at 0 bonus points 5% drew; at 4 points (the highest level with at least 5 applicants) 81% drew.
Nonresidents: at 0 bonus points 0% drew; at 3 points (the highest level with at least 5 applicants) 40% drew.

Deadline

Elk B, deer B, antelope and antelope B licenses: FWP's 2026 window ran Mar 1 to Jun 1, 2026 (11:45 p.m. Mountain). FWP has not posted 2027 dates yet; the June 1 deadline has held in recent years. FWP application and drawing dates.

Source: Montana Fish, Wildlife & Parks (FWP), 2026 Drawing Statistics reports (MyFWP drawing statistics, FWP application and drawing dates). Tables, outlooks and text are TagCanyon's own; FWP does not warrant or endorse them. Not affiliated with FWP. Retrieved Oct 17, 2026.