536-20 Antelope License Draw Odds, Montana

Antelope license, district 536-20, from FWP's 2023 to 2026 drawing statistics. Jump to resident odds or nonresident odds.

Fact	Value
Drawing	Antelope license, district 536-20
2026 total quota	150
2026 nonresident cap (FWP's NR quota column)	15
2026 landowner preference cap: resident / nonresident	23 / 15
2026 first-choice applicants: resident / nonresident	689 / 85
2026 drawn on first choice: resident / nonresident	123 / 9
2026 first-choice odds: resident / nonresident	17.9% / 10.6%
2026 total successful (all choices and pools)	150

Resident odds by bonus point (2026 drawing)

Share of first-choice resident applicants at each bonus-point level who drew, from FWP's 2026 bonus point report. Each applicant gets one chance plus their points squared, so the draw favors high point holders without a hard cutoff. How Montana bonus points work.

Bonus points	Chances in drawing	1st-choice applicants	Drawn	Odds at this level
0	1	168	14	8.3%
1	2	324	45	13.9%
2	5	136	40	29.4%
3	10	55	19	34.5%
4	17	4	4	100.0%
5	26	2	1	50.0%

Resident outlook for 2027

If first-choice demand keeps its 2023 to 2026 trend (+28 applicants a year), about 717 residents would apply in 2027; with the same number of first-choice licenses, overall first-choice odds would be about 17%. Average bonus points among first-choice applicants are trending to about 1.2 (+0.06 a year), a measure of point creep in a weighted draw. Confidence: medium.

Landowner preference (residents, 2026): 12 first-choice applicants, 12 drawn.

Nonresident odds by bonus point (2026 drawing)

Share of first-choice nonresident applicants at each bonus-point level who drew, from FWP's 2026 bonus point report. Each applicant gets one chance plus their points squared, so the draw favors high point holders without a hard cutoff. How Montana bonus points work.

Bonus points	Chances in drawing	1st-choice applicants	Drawn	Odds at this level
0	1	11	0	0.0%
1	2	37	0	0.0%
2	5	23	2	8.7%
3	10	6	3	50.0%
4	17	5	3	60.0%
5	26	2	0	0.0%
11	122	1	1	100.0%

Nonresident outlook for 2027

If first-choice demand keeps its 2023 to 2026 trend (-3 applicants a year), about 82 nonresidents would apply in 2027; with the same number of first-choice licenses, overall first-choice odds would be about 11%. Average bonus points among first-choice applicants are trending to about 1.8 (+0.09 a year), a measure of point creep in a weighted draw. Confidence: medium.

Landowner preference (nonresidents, 2026): 6 first-choice applicants, 6 drawn.

First-choice odds by year

First-choice draws over first-choice applicants in the regular drawing (landowner preference excluded).

Draw year	Quota	Res applicants	Res odds	NR applicants	NR odds
2023	300	606	42.7%	93	26.9%
2024	300	633	41.1%	81	27.2%
2025	300	631	41.2%	95	22.1%
2026	150	689	17.9%	85	10.6%

Outlook method: see the top of the Montana points explainer and our forecast method. It is a trend line, not a promise.

Notes from TagCanyon

In 2026, 689 residents listed this drawing first for a quota of 150, about 4.6 resident applicants per license.
Residents: at 0 bonus points 8% drew; at 3 points (the highest level with at least 5 applicants) 35% drew.
Nonresidents: at 0 bonus points 0% drew; at 4 points (the highest level with at least 5 applicants) 60% drew.

Deadline

Elk B, deer B, antelope and antelope B licenses: FWP's 2026 window ran Mar 1 to Jun 1, 2026 (11:45 p.m. Mountain). FWP has not posted 2027 dates yet; the June 1 deadline has held in recent years. FWP application and drawing dates.

Source: Montana Fish, Wildlife & Parks (FWP), 2026 Drawing Statistics reports (MyFWP drawing statistics, FWP application and drawing dates). Tables, outlooks and text are TagCanyon's own; FWP does not warrant or endorse them. Not affiliated with FWP. Retrieved Oct 17, 2026.