007-31 Antelope B License Draw Odds, Montana

Antelope b license, district 007-31, from FWP's 2024 to 2026 drawing statistics. Jump to resident odds or nonresident odds.

Fact	Value
Drawing	Antelope b license, district 007-31
2026 total quota	2,000
2026 nonresident cap (FWP's NR quota column)	200
2026 landowner preference cap: resident / nonresident	300 / 200
2026 first-choice applicants: resident / nonresident	1,814 / 94
2026 drawn on first choice: resident / nonresident	1,814 / 94
2026 first-choice odds: resident / nonresident	100.0% / 100.0%
2026 total successful (all choices and pools)	2,000

Resident odds by bonus point (2026 drawing)

Share of first-choice resident applicants at each bonus-point level who drew, from FWP's 2026 bonus point report. Each applicant gets one chance plus their points squared, so the draw favors high point holders without a hard cutoff. How Montana bonus points work.

Bonus points	Chances in drawing	1st-choice applicants	Drawn	Odds at this level
0	1	463	463	100.0%
1	2	693	693	100.0%
2	5	296	296	100.0%
3	10	177	177	100.0%
4	17	102	102	100.0%
5	26	45	45	100.0%
6	37	28	28	100.0%
7	50	7	7	100.0%
8	65	3	3	100.0%

Resident outlook for 2027

If first-choice demand keeps its 2024 to 2026 trend (+220 applicants a year), about 2,034 residents would apply in 2027; with the same number of first-choice licenses, overall first-choice odds would be about 89%. Average bonus points among first-choice applicants are trending to about 1.4 (-0.12 a year), a measure of point creep in a weighted draw. Confidence: medium.

Landowner preference (residents, 2026): 7 first-choice applicants, 7 drawn.

Nonresident odds by bonus point (2026 drawing)

Share of first-choice nonresident applicants at each bonus-point level who drew, from FWP's 2026 bonus point report. Each applicant gets one chance plus their points squared, so the draw favors high point holders without a hard cutoff. How Montana bonus points work.

Bonus points	Chances in drawing	1st-choice applicants	Drawn	Odds at this level
0	1	25	25	100.0%
1	2	47	47	100.0%
2	5	10	10	100.0%
3	10	3	3	100.0%
4	17	5	5	100.0%
5	26	4	4	100.0%

Nonresident outlook for 2027

If first-choice demand keeps its 2024 to 2026 trend (+16 applicants a year), about 110 nonresidents would apply in 2027; with the same number of first-choice licenses, overall first-choice odds would be about 86%. Average bonus points among first-choice applicants are trending to about 0.9 (-0.31 a year), a measure of point creep in a weighted draw. Confidence: low.

Landowner preference (nonresidents, 2026): 5 first-choice applicants, 5 drawn.

First-choice odds by year

First-choice draws over first-choice applicants in the regular drawing (landowner preference excluded).

Draw year	Quota	Res applicants	Res odds	NR applicants	NR odds
2024	60	1,374	3.8%	63	1.6%
2025	500	1,474	31.1%	69	44.9%
2026	2,000	1,814	100.0%	94	100.0%

Outlook method: see the top of the Montana points explainer and our forecast method. It is a trend line, not a promise.

Notes from TagCanyon

In 2026, 1,814 residents listed this drawing first for a quota of 2,000, about 0.9 resident applicants per license.
Licenses still went to second or third choices in 2026, so the drawing did not fill on first choice.
Residents: at 0 bonus points 100% drew; at 7 points (the highest level with at least 5 applicants) 100% drew.
Nonresidents: at 0 bonus points 100% drew; at 4 points (the highest level with at least 5 applicants) 100% drew.

Deadline

Elk B, deer B, antelope and antelope B licenses: FWP's 2026 window ran Mar 1 to Jun 1, 2026 (11:45 p.m. Mountain). FWP has not posted 2027 dates yet; the June 1 deadline has held in recent years. FWP application and drawing dates.

Source: Montana Fish, Wildlife & Parks (FWP), 2026 Drawing Statistics reports (MyFWP drawing statistics, FWP application and drawing dates). Tables, outlooks and text are TagCanyon's own; FWP does not warrant or endorse them. Not affiliated with FWP. Retrieved Oct 17, 2026.