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Four hunters in camouflage kneeling with their mule deer bucks at Charles M. Russell National Wildlife Refuge, Montana

Montana Deer With 16 points: Resident

13 deer hunts drew at least one resident first-choice applicant holding 16 bonus points in the 2026 draw; 7 of them drew half or more. Highest odds first.

Photo: U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service (USFWS Mountain Prairie) via Wikimedia Commons, public domain. Credits
HuntDescriptionOdds at your levelApplicants at your level
202-50 PermitDeer permit, district 202-50 (mule)100%1
319-50 PermitDeer permit, district 319-50 (mule)100%1
400-50 PermitDeer permit, district 400-50 (mule)100%1
410-50 PermitDeer permit, district 410-50 (mule)100%1
535-50 PermitDeer permit, district 535-50 (mule)100%1
103-50 PermitDeer permit, district 103-50 (mule)50%4
282-51 PermitDeer permit, district 282-51 (wt)50%4
441-50 PermitDeer permit, district 441-50 (mule)30%10
270-51 PermitDeer permit, district 270-51 (mule)20%5
300-50 PermitDeer permit, district 300-50 (mule)14%7
250-50 PermitDeer permit, district 250-50 (mule)12%8
455-60 PermitDeer permit, district 455-60 (mule or wt)4%24
270-50 PermitDeer permit, district 270-50 (mule)2%158

7 more hunts had resident applicants at 16 points and drew none of them in 2026.

How to read this

Odds are the share of first-choice applicants at your exact bonus-point level who drew in FWP’s drawing. Montana squares bonus points (one chance plus points squared), so there is no hard cutoff and we only show levels where FWP reported applicants.

Odds are historical, not a promise

Every number here is what happened in one past draw. Applicant counts, quotas and point creep change every year, so your odds next year can be higher or lower. Check the agency’s regulations before you apply. How this tool works.

Try another point count

Resident: how many points do you have?

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24

Nonresident: how many points do you have?

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24

All Montana deer point levels · Every Montana deer hunt · Points tool

Source: Montana Fish, Wildlife & Parks (FWP), 2026 draw results, as stored in TagCanyon’s own fact tables and shown on each hunt page. Tables and text are TagCanyon’s own; the agency does not warrant or endorse them. Not affiliated with Montana Fish, Wildlife & Parks.

Mule deer buck among rocks and brush in Glacier National Park, Montana

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Photo: National Park Service (GlacierNPS) via Wikimedia Commons, public domain. Credits